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On finite-time ruin probabilities in a generalized dual risk model with dependence

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  • Dimitrova, Dimitrina S.
  • Kaishev, Vladimir K.
  • Zhao, Shouqi

Abstract

In this paper, we study the finite-time ruin probability in a reasonably generalized dual risk model, where we assume any non-negative non-decreasing cumulative operational cost function and arbitrary capital gains arrival process. Establishing an enlightening link between this dual risk model and its corresponding insurance risk model, explicit expressions for the finite-time survival probability in the dual risk model are obtained under various general assumptions for the distribution of the capital gains. In order to make the model more realistic and general, different dependence structures among capital gains and inter-arrival times and between both are also introduced and corresponding ruin probability expressions are also given. The concept of alarm time, as introduced in Das and Kratz (2012), is applied to the dual risk model within the context of risk capital allocation. Extensive numerical illustrations are provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitrova, Dimitrina S. & Kaishev, Vladimir K. & Zhao, Shouqi, 2015. "On finite-time ruin probabilities in a generalized dual risk model with dependence," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(1), pages 134-148.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:242:y:2015:i:1:p:134-148
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.10.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Goffard, Pierre-Olivier & Lefèvre, Claude, 2018. "Duality in ruin problems for ordered risk models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 44-52.
    2. Junna Bi & Jun Cai & Yan Zeng, 2021. "Equilibrium reinsurance-investment strategies with partial information and common shock dependence," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 307(1), pages 1-24, December.
    3. Yang, Chen & Sendova, Kristina P. & Li, Zhong, 2020. "Parisian ruin with a threshold dividend strategy under the dual Lévy risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 135-150.
    4. Yongwu Li & Zhongfei Li & Yan Zeng, 2016. "Equilibrium Dividend Strategy with Non-exponential Discounting in a Dual Model," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 168(2), pages 699-722, February.
    5. Eckert, Johanna & Gatzert, Nadine, 2018. "Risk- and value-based management for non-life insurers under solvency constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(2), pages 761-774.
    6. Dimitrina S. Dimitrova & Zvetan G. Ignatov & Vladimir K. Kaishev, 2017. "On the First Crossing of Two Boundaries by an Order Statistics Risk Process," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-14, August.
    7. Pierre-Olivier Goffard, 2019. "Fraud risk assessment within blockchain transactions," Working Papers hal-01716687, HAL.
    8. Dimitrina S. Dimitrova & Vladimir K. Kaishev & Shouqi Zhao, 2015. "Modeling Finite‐Time Failure Probabilities in Risk Analysis Applications," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(10), pages 1919-1939, October.
    9. Cheung, Eric C.K. & Wong, Jeff T.Y., 2017. "On the dual risk model with Parisian implementation delays in dividend payments," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(1), pages 159-173.
    10. Pierre-Olivier Goffard & Claude Lefèvre, 2018. "Duality in ruin problems for ordered risk models," Post-Print hal-01398910, HAL.
    11. Leipus, Remigijus & Paukštys, Saulius & Šiaulys, Jonas, 2021. "Tails of higher-order moments of sums with heavy-tailed increments and application to the Haezendonck–Goovaerts risk measure," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    12. Pierre-O. Goffard, 2019. "Fraud risk assessment within blockchain transactions," Post-Print hal-01716687, HAL.

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