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A semiparametric cointegrating regression: Investigating the effects of age distributions on consumption and saving

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  • Park, Joon Y.
  • Shin, Kwanho
  • Whang, Yoon-Jae

Abstract

We consider a semiparametric cointegrating regression model, for which the disequilibrium error is further explained nonparametrically by a functional of distributions changing over time. The paper develops the statistical theories of the model. We propose an efficient econometric estimator and obtain its asymptotic distribution. A specification test for the model is also investigated. The model and methodology are applied to analyze how an aging population in the US influences the consumption level and the savings rate. We find that the impact of age distribution on the consumption level and the savings rate is consistent with the life-cycle hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Park, Joon Y. & Shin, Kwanho & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2010. "A semiparametric cointegrating regression: Investigating the effects of age distributions on consumption and saving," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 165-178, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:157:y:2010:i:1:p:165-178
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Chirok Han & Kwanho Shin, 2018. "What Explains Current Account Surplus in Korea?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 17(2), pages 70-93, Summer.
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    7. Kyungsik Nam, 2021. "Nonlinear Cointegrating Regression of the Earth’s Surface Mean Temperature Anomalies on Total Radiative Forcing," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, February.
    8. Zongwu Cai & Jiazi Chen & Linlin Niu, 2021. "A Semiparametric Model for Bond Pricing with Life Cycle Fundamental," Working Papers 2021-01-06, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    9. Chang, Yoosoon & Kim, Chang Sik & Miller, J. Isaac & Park, Joon Y. & Park, Sungkeun, 2014. "Time-varying Long-run Income and Output Elasticities of Electricity Demand with an Application to Korea," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 334-347.
    10. Yoosoon Chang & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park & Sungkeun Park, 2014. "Time-varying Long-run Income and Output Elasticities of Electricity Demand," Working Papers 1409, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    11. Zongwu Cai & Jiazi Chen & Linlin Liu, 2021. "Estimating Impact of Age Distribution on Bond Pricing: A Semiparametric Functional Data Analysis Approach," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202102, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2021.
    12. J. Isaac Miller & Kyungsik Nam, 2019. "Dating Hiatuses: A Statistical Model of the Recent Slowdown in Global Warming – and the Next One," Working Papers 1903, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.

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