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Gambierdiscus and Fukuyoa species in the greater Caribbean: Regional growth projections for ciguatera-associated dinoflagellates

Author

Listed:
  • Kibler, Steven R.
  • Davenport, Eric D.
  • Tester, Patricia A.
  • Hardison, D. Ransom
  • Holland, William C.
  • Litaker, R. Wayne

Abstract

Satellite-derived sea surface temperature data from the MODIS Aqua instrument were used to project rates of growth for four Gambierdiscus and one Fukuyoa species, dinoflagellates associated with ciguatera fish poisoning. Dinoflagellate growth rates were modelled using experimental temperature vs. growth equations and projected bottom temperatures with light penetration and bathymetry masks. Daily projected growth rates for each species were used to calculate monthly, yearly and multiyear averages between 2003 and 2013. The resulting projections were then used to characterize patterns of regional Gambierdiscus/Fukuyoa abundance and compare these to ciguatera fish poisoning incidences in the Greater Caribbean Region. Model output indicated the highest growth potential was in the shelf waters of the Caribbean Sea, with moderate growth in the Bahamas, southern Florida and Gulf of Mexico; the lowest growth potential was in the northern Gulf of Mexico and along the U.S. south Atlantic coast. Mean projected growth rates generally coincided with distribution of ciguatera fish poisoning incidences in the region, with some exceptions in the southwestern Caribbean. The results of this study indicate spatial differences in Gambierdiscus and Fukuyoa growth likely play a prominent role in governing the occurrence of ciguatera fish poisoning in the greater Caribbean. Growth and distribution models may be an effective tool for ciguatera risk assessment.

Suggested Citation

  • Kibler, Steven R. & Davenport, Eric D. & Tester, Patricia A. & Hardison, D. Ransom & Holland, William C. & Litaker, R. Wayne, 2017. "Gambierdiscus and Fukuyoa species in the greater Caribbean: Regional growth projections for ciguatera-associated dinoflagellates," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 360(C), pages 204-218.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:360:y:2017:i:c:p:204-218
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.07.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stevens, Kara & Irwin, Brian & Kramer, Daniel & Urquhart, Gerald, 2014. "Impact of increasing market access on a tropical small-scale fishery," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(PA), pages 46-52.
    2. Kibler, Steven R. & Tester, Patricia A. & Kunkel, Kenneth E. & Moore, Stephanie K. & Litaker, R. Wayne, 2015. "Effects of ocean warming on growth and distribution of dinoflagellates associated with ciguatera fish poisoning in the Caribbean," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 316(C), pages 194-210.
    3. -, 2008. "Demographic change and its influence on development in Latin America and the Caribbean," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2895 edited by Eclac.
    4. Yixiao Xu & Mindy L Richlen & Justin D Liefer & Alison Robertson & David Kulis & Tyler B Smith & Michael L Parsons & Donald M Anderson, 2016. "Influence of Environmental Variables on Gambierdiscus spp. (Dinophyceae) Growth and Distribution," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(4), pages 1-30, April.
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