IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v303y2015icp70-77.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal sampling frequency and timing of threatened tropical bird populations: A modeling approach

Author

Listed:
  • Banks, J.E.
  • Banks, H.T.
  • Rinnovatore, K.
  • Jackson, C.M.

Abstract

Conservation of threatened or endangered species relies critically on accurate population counts over time. In practice, many population censuses are conducted by non-governmental organizations or volunteer citizen scientists who are constrained by fiscal and temporal resources. Less than optimal sampling regimens (characterized by infrequent and/or irregular schedules) for conducting population censuses can result in woefully misleading population estimates – and thus have dire consequences for management and conservation. We illustrate this using an East African case study in which 14 years of bird data was collected in the Arabuko-Sokoke Forest in coastal Kenya. We first estimate life history parameters in a discrete matrix model. Desiring a data collection protocol which would lessen observation error and lend to a deeper understanding of population projections and dynamics of a threatened species, we carry out mathematical and statistical modeling efforts with an adaptation of a Leslie model for simulated population estimates stemming from different population sampling schemes. We illustrate how resource managers might take a strategic approach, using simple quantitative models, to develop an optimal sampling scheme that considers important species traits, such as breeding season, and balances the tradeoff between resources and accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Banks, J.E. & Banks, H.T. & Rinnovatore, K. & Jackson, C.M., 2015. "Optimal sampling frequency and timing of threatened tropical bird populations: A modeling approach," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 303(C), pages 70-77.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:303:y:2015:i:c:p:70-77
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.02.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380015000617
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.02.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry W. Brook & Julian J. O'Grady & Andrew P. Chapman & Mark A. Burgman & H. Resit Akçakaya & Richard Frankham, 2000. "Predictive accuracy of population viability analysis in conservation biology," Nature, Nature, vol. 404(6776), pages 385-387, March.
    2. Clark, M.E. & Martin, T.E., 2007. "Modeling tradeoffs in avian life history traits and consequences for population growth," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 110-120.
    3. Banks, J.E. & Dick, L.K. & Banks, H.T. & Stark, J.D., 2008. "Time-varying vital rates in ecotoxicology: Selective pesticides and aphid population dynamics," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 155-160.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. LaRue, Michelle A. & Nielsen, Clayton K., 2016. "Population viability of recolonizing cougars in midwestern North America," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 321(C), pages 121-129.
    2. John M Drake, 2005. "Density-Dependent Demographic Variation Determines Extinction Rate of Experimental Populations," PLOS Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(7), pages 1-1, June.
    3. D.C & Nwankwoala & H. O & Okujagu, 2021. "A Review Of Wetlands And Coastal Resources Of The Niger Delta: Potentials, Challenges And Prospects," Environment & Ecosystem Science (EES), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 37-46, March.
    4. Skvortsov, Alex & Ristic, Branko & Kamenev, Alex, 2018. "Predicting population extinction from early observations of the Lotka–Volterra system," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 320(C), pages 371-379.
    5. Stéphanie C. Schai-Braun & Christine Kowalczyk & Erich Klansek & Klaus Hackländer, 2019. "Estimating Sustainable Harvest Rates for European Hare ( Lepus Europaeus ) Populations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-20, May.
    6. Wigley, Tom M.L. & Hong, Sanghyun & Brook, Barry W., 2021. "Value-added diagnostics for the assessment and validation of integrated assessment models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    7. Marco D Visser & Sean M McMahon & Cory Merow & Philip M Dixon & Sydne Record & Eelke Jongejans, 2015. "Speeding Up Ecological and Evolutionary Computations in R; Essentials of High Performance Computing for Biologists," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-11, March.
    8. John M Halley & Kyle S Van Houtan & Nate Mantua, 2018. "How survival curves affect populations’ vulnerability to climate change," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, September.
    9. Kissel, Amanda M. & Palen, Wendy J. & Govindarajulu, Purnima, 2017. "A Decision-theory Approach to Cost-effective Population Supplementation for Imperiled Species," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 194-202.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:303:y:2015:i:c:p:70-77. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.