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A vaccination game based on public health actions and personal decisions

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  • Schimit, P.H.T.
  • Monteiro, L.H.A.

Abstract

Susceptible-infective-removed (SIR) models are commonly used for representing the spread of contagious diseases. A SIR model can be described in terms of a probabilistic cellular automaton (PCA), where each individual (corresponding to a cell of the PCA lattice) is connected to others by a random network favoring local contacts. Here, this framework is employed for investigating the consequences of applying vaccine against the propagation of a contagious infection, by considering vaccination as a game, in the sense of game theory. In this game, the players are the government and the susceptible newborns. In order to maximize their own payoffs, the government attempts to reduce the costs for combating the epidemic, and the newborns may be vaccinated only when infective individuals are found in their neighborhoods and/or the government promotes an immunization program. As a consequence of these strategies supported by cost-benefit analysis and perceived risk, numerical simulations show that the disease is not fully eliminated and the government implements quasi-periodic vaccination campaigns.

Suggested Citation

  • Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2011. "A vaccination game based on public health actions and personal decisions," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(9), pages 1651-1655.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:222:y:2011:i:9:p:1651-1655
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.02.019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2010. "Who should wear mask against airborne infections? Altering the contact network for controlling the spread of contagious diseases," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(9), pages 1329-1332.
    2. L. Coudeville & A. Brunot & T.D. Szucs & B. Dervaux, 2005. "The economic value of childhood varicella vaccination in France and Germany," Post-Print hal-00199702, HAL.
    3. Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2009. "On the basic reproduction number and the topological properties of the contact network: An epidemiological study in mainly locally connected cellular automata," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(7), pages 1034-1042.
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    1. Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2012. "On estimating the basic reproduction number in distinct stages of a contagious disease spreading," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 156-160.
    2. Wang, Qingqing & Du, Chunpeng & Geng, Yini & Shi, Lei, 2020. "Historical payoff can not overcome the vaccination dilemma on Barabási–Albert scale-free networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    3. Han, Dun & Sun, Mei, 2016. "An evolutionary vaccination game in the modified activity driven network by considering the closeness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 443(C), pages 49-57.
    4. Verelst, Frederik & Willem, Lander & Kessels, Roselinde & Beutels, Philippe, 2018. "Individual decisions to vaccinate one's child or oneself: A discrete choice experiment rejecting free-riding motives," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 106-116.
    5. Han, Dun & Sun, Mei, 2014. "Can memory and conformism resolve the vaccination dilemma?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 415(C), pages 95-104.

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