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Using demand transfer ratios to infer market impacts of new goods

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  • Gayle, Philip G.
  • Lin, Ying

Abstract

This paper introduces a measure we call a “demand transfer ratio” (DTR) that is a useful metric for inferring and communicating important market impacts associated with new product introductions. We show that the sign and magnitude of the demand transfer ratio can be used to infer whether the presence of new goods expanded aggregate demand in the relevant market and/or have a demand-cannibalizing effect on pre-existing products. In principle, our unit free DTR metric can be computed for the introduction and presence of new products across a wide cross section of industries for the purpose of comparing the demand transference impacts of various technology innovations and further studying what measurable attributes, strategies, and/or policies are associated with the most impactful innovations in an economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Gayle, Philip G. & Lin, Ying, 2023. "Using demand transfer ratios to infer market impacts of new goods," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:223:y:2023:i:c:s016517652200444x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110970
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amil Petrin, 2002. "Quantifying the Benefits of New Products: The Case of the Minivan," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 110(4), pages 705-729, August.
    2. repec:bla:jindec:v:50:y:2002:i:3:p:237-63 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Philip G. Gayle & Ying Lin, 2022. "Market effects of new product introduction: Evidence from the brew‐at‐home coffee market," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 525-557, August.
    4. Jerry A Hausman & Gregory K Leonard, 2002. "The Competitive Effects of a New Product Introduction: A Case Study," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(3), pages 237-263, September.
    5. Ivaldi, Marc & Verboven, Frank, 2005. "Quantifying the effects from horizontal mergers in European competition policy," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 23(9-10), pages 669-691, December.
    6. Hausman, Jerry, 1999. "Cellular Telephone, New Products, and the CPI," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 17(2), pages 188-194, April.
    7. Ivaldi, Marc & Verboven, Frank, 2005. "Quantifying the effects from horizontal mergers: Comments on the underlying assumptions," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 23(9-10), pages 699-702, December.
    8. Austan Goolsbee & Amil Petrin, 2004. "The Consumer Gains from Direct Broadcast Satellites and the Competition with Cable TV," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(2), pages 351-381, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand transfer ratios; New product introduction; Aggregate demand expansionary effect; Demand-cannibalizing effect; Innovation and Technological Change; Environmental Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • M31 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Marketing
    • Q55 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Technological Innovation
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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