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Latent unbalancedness in three-way gravity models

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  • Czarnowske, Daniel
  • Stammann, Amrei

Abstract

Many panel data sets used for Pseudo-Poisson estimation of three-way gravity models are implicitly unbalanced because uninformative observations are redundant for the estimation. We show with real data as well as simulations that this phenomenon, which we call latent unbalancedness, amplifies the inference problem recently studied by Weidner and Zylkin (2021).

Suggested Citation

  • Czarnowske, Daniel & Stammann, Amrei, 2022. "Latent unbalancedness in three-way gravity models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:220:y:2022:i:c:s0165176522003354
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110861
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel Czarnowske & Amrei Stammann, 2019. "Fixed Effects Binary Choice Models: Estimation and Inference with Long Panels," Papers 1904.04217, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    2. Iván Fernández-Val & Martin Weidner, 2018. "Fixed Effects Estimation of Large-TPanel Data Models," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 109-138, August.
    3. Sergio Correia & Paulo Guimarães & Tom Zylkin, 2020. "Fast Poisson estimation with high-dimensional fixed effects," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 20(1), pages 95-115, March.
    4. Santos Silva, J.M.C. & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2010. "On the existence of the maximum likelihood estimates in Poisson regression," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(2), pages 310-312, May.
    5. Weidner, Martin & Zylkin, Thomas, 2021. "Bias and consistency in three-way gravity models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    6. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Trognon, Alain, 1984. "Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Theory," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 681-700, May.
    7. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Trognon, Alain, 1984. "Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Applications to Poisson Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 701-720, May.
    8. Sergio Correia & Paulo Guimar~aes & Thomas Zylkin, 2019. "Verifying the existence of maximum likelihood estimates for generalized linear models," Papers 1903.01633, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2021.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymptotic bias correction; Complete separation; Fixed effects; Pseudo-Poisson maximum likelihood;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General

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