Market efficiency in foreign exchange market
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109931
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Clarida, Richard & Davis, Josh & Pedersen, Niels, 2009.
"Currency carry trade regimes: Beyond the Fama regression,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(8), pages 1375-1389, December.
- Richard Clarida & Josh Davis & Niels Pedersen, 2009. "Currency Carry Trade Regimes: Beyond the Fama Regression," NBER Working Papers 15523, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel, Kent & Hodrick, Robert J. & Lu, Zhongjin, 2017.
"The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns,"
Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 6(2), pages 211-262, September.
- Kent Daniel & Robert J. Hodrick & Zhongjin Lu, 2014. "The Carry Trade: Risks and Drawdowns," NBER Working Papers 20433, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Menkhoff, Lukas & Sarno, Lucio & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2012.
"Currency momentum strategies,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 660-684.
- Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2011. "Currency Momentum Strategies," BIS Working Papers 366, Bank for International Settlements.
- Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2012. "Currency Momentum Strategies," Working Paper series 09_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Menkhoff, Lukas & Sarno, Lucio & Schrimpf, Paul & Schmeling, Maik, 2012. "Currency Momentum Strategies," CEPR Discussion Papers 8747, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ligeralde, Antonio V., 1994. "Simple foreign exchange market efficiency revisited," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 257-262, November.
- De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. "Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2018.
"Short-Term Price Overreactions: Identification, Testing, Exploitation,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 913-940, April.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2014. "Short-Term Price Overreaction: Identification, Testing, Exploitation," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1423, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2014. "Short-Term Price Overreactions: Identification, Testing, Exploitation," CESifo Working Paper Series 5066, CESifo.
- Aliber, Robert Z. & Chowdhry, Bhagwan & Yan, Shu, 2000. "Transactions Costs in the Foreign Exchange Market," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt4qw3p6rp, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
- Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-1176, December.
- Raza, Ahmad & Marshall, Ben R. & Visaltanachoti, Nuttawat, 2014. "Is there momentum or reversal in weekly currency returns?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 38-60.
- John F. O. Bilson, 1981. "Profitability and Stability in International Currency Markets," NBER Working Papers 0664, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2019.
"Long-term price overreactions: are markets inefficient?,"
Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(4), pages 657-680, October.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2015. "Long-Term Price Overreactions: Are Markets Inefficient?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1444, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014.
"A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix,"
Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
- Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1987. "A Simple, Positive Semi-definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(3), pages 703-708, May.
- Whitney K. Newey & Kenneth D. West, 1986. "A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and AutocorrelationConsistent Covariance Matrix," NBER Technical Working Papers 0055, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kuang, P. & Schröder, M. & Wang, Q., 2014.
"Illusory profitability of technical analysis in emerging foreign exchange markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 192-205.
- P Kuang & M Schroder & Q Wang, 2013. "Illusory Profitability of Technical Analysis in Emerging Foreign Exchange Markets," Discussion Papers 13-09, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- MacDonald, Ronald & Taylor, Mark P., 1989. "Foreign exchange market efficiency and cointegration : Some evidence from the recent float," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 63-68.
- Baytas, Ahmet & Cakici, Nusret, 1999. "Do markets overreact: International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(7), pages 1121-1144, July.
- Dao, Thong M. & McGroarty, Frank & Urquhart, Andrew, 2016. "A calendar effect: Weekend overreaction (and subsequent reversal) in spot FX rates," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 37, pages 158-167.
- Parikakis, George S. & Syriopoulos, Theodore, 2008. "Contrarian strategy and overreaction in foreign exchange markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 319-324, September.
- Park, Soo-Bin, 1985. "On the term structure of the foreign exchange rates and market efficiency," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 385-388.
- Narasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman, 2001. "Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 699-720, April.
- Conrad, Jennifer & Kaul, Gautam, 1993. "Long-Term Market Overreaction or Biases in Computed Returns?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 39-63, March.
- Wang, Changyun & Yu, Min, 2004. "Trading activity and price reversals in futures markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1337-1361, June.
- Seungho Baek & Jeong Wan Lee & Kyong Joo Oh & Myoungji Lee, 2020. "Yield curve risks in currency carry forwards," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 651-670, April.
- Barroso, Pedro & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2015. "Beyond the Carry Trade: Optimal Currency Portfolios," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(5), pages 1037-1056, October.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Julio E. Sandubete & León Beleña & Juan Carlos García-Villalobos, 2023. "Testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the Model-Data Paradox of Chaos on Top Currencies from the Foreign Exchange Market (FOREX)," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-29, January.
- Zhou, Xinxing & Gao, Yan & Wang, Ping & Zhu, Bangzhu, 2022. "Examining the overconfidence and overreaction in China’s carbon markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 472-489.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, October.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2021.
"Gold and oil prices: abnormal returns, momentum and contrarian effects,"
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(3), pages 353-368, September.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2020. "Gold and Oil Prices: Abnormal Returns, Momentum and Contrarian Effects," CESifo Working Paper Series 8445, CESifo.
- Zaremba, Adam & Bianchi, Robert J. & Mikutowski, Mateusz, 2021. "Long-run reversal in commodity returns: Insights from seven centuries of evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Bianchi, Robert J. & Drew, Michael E. & Fan, John Hua, 2016. "Commodities momentum: A behavioral perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 133-150.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2020.
"Momentum effects in the cryptocurrency market after one-day abnormal returns,"
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(3), pages 251-266, September.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2019. "Momentum Effects in the Cryptocurrency Market After One-Day Abnormal Returns," CESifo Working Paper Series 7917, CESifo.
- Choi, Jin Ho & Suh, Sangwon, 2021. "A filtered currency carry trade," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Raza, Muhammad Wajid, 2020. "The long-run reversal in the long run: Insights from two centuries of international equity returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 177-199.
- Chen, Chih-Nan & Lin, Chien-Hsiu, 2020. "The sources of pricing factors underlying the cross-section of currency returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 250-265.
- Dahlquist, Magnus & Hasseltoft, Henrik, 2020. "Economic momentum and currency returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 152-167.
- Amit Goyal, 2012. "Empirical cross-sectional asset pricing: a survey," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 26(1), pages 3-38, March.
- Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2017.
"Time series momentum and contrarian effects in the Chinese stock market,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 483(C), pages 309-318.
- Huai-Long Shi & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2017. "Time series momentum and contrarian effects in the Chinese stock market," Papers 1702.07374, arXiv.org.
- Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Razvan & Nistor, Costel, 2012. "Reactions of the capital markets to the shocks before and during the global crisis," MPRA Paper 41540, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Jan 2012.
- Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2017.
"Wax and wane of the cross-sectional momentum and contrarian effects: Evidence from the Chinese stock markets,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 397-407.
- H. -L. Shi & W. -X. Zhou, 2017. "Wax and wane of the cross-sectional momentum and contrarian effects: Evidence from the Chinese stock markets," Papers 1707.05552, arXiv.org.
- McInish, Thomas H. & Ding, David K. & Pyun, Chong Soo & Wongchoti, Udomsak, 2008. "Short-horizon contrarian and momentum strategies in Asian markets: An integrated analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 312-329.
- Chaoshin Chiao & David Cheng & Welfeng Hung, 2005. "Overreaction after Controlling for Size and Book-to-Market Effects and its Mimicking Portfolio in Japan," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 65-91, January.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2019.
"Long-term price overreactions: are markets inefficient?,"
Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(4), pages 657-680, October.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2015. "Long-Term Price Overreactions: Are Markets Inefficient?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1444, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Opie, Wei & Riddiough, Steven J., 2020. "Global currency hedging with common risk factors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(3), pages 780-805.
- Supriya Maheshwari & Raj S. Dhankar, 2017. "Profitability of Volume-based Momentum and Contrarian Strategies in the Indian Stock Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(4), pages 974-992, August.
- Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade: Evidence from financial crises," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-19.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2020. "Abnormal Returns and Stock Price Movements: Some Evidence from Developed and Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 8783, CESifo.
More about this item
Keywords
Overreaction; Reversal; Momentum; Foreign exchange rate; Efficient market hypothesis;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:205:y:2021:i:c:s0165176521002081. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.