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A new IV approach for estimating the efficacy of macroprudential measures

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  • Gadatsch, Niklas
  • Mann, Lukas
  • Schnabel, Isabel

Abstract

We propose a new identification strategy to assess the efficacy of macroprudential measures. We use a novel instrumental variable based on the idea that a politically sensitive macroprudential measure is more likely to be implemented if a politically independent institution, such as a central bank, is in charge. Our results show that borrower-based macroprudential measures have had a strong and statistically significant dampening effect on credit growth in the European Union.

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  • Gadatsch, Niklas & Mann, Lukas & Schnabel, Isabel, 2018. "A new IV approach for estimating the efficacy of macroprudential measures," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 107-109.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:168:y:2018:i:c:p:107-109
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.04.015
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    1. Akinci, Ozge & Olmstead-Rumsey, Jane, 2018. "How effective are macroprudential policies? An empirical investigation," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 33-57.
    2. Kuttner, Kenneth N. & Shim, Ilhyock, 2016. "Can non-interest rate policies stabilize housing markets? Evidence from a panel of 57 economies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 31-44.
    3. Claessens, Stijn & Ghosh, Swati R. & Mihet, Roxana, 2013. "Macro-prudential policies to mitigate financial system vulnerabilities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 153-185.
    4. Maurice J. G. Bun & Frank Windmeijer, 2010. "The weak instrument problem of the system GMM estimator in dynamic panel data models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 13(1), pages 95-126, February.
    5. Cerutti, Eugenio & Claessens, Stijn & Laeven, Luc, 2017. "The use and effectiveness of macroprudential policies: New evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 203-224.
    6. Cheng Hoon Lim & Mr. Ivo Krznar & Mr. Fabian Lipinsky & Mr. Akira Otani & Mr. Xiaoyong Wu, 2013. "The Macroprudential Framework: Policy Responsiveness and Institutional Arrangements," IMF Working Papers 2013/166, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Eugenio Cerutti & Stijn Claessens & Luc Laeven, 2016. "The use and effectiveness of macroprudential policies," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Macroprudential policy, volume 86, pages 95-102, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. David Roodman, 2009. "A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(1), pages 135-158, February.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2022. "Finance, growth and (macro)prudential policy: European evidence," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 537-571, May.
    3. Igan, Deniz & Mirzaei, Ali & Moore, Tomoe, 2023. "Does macroprudential policy alleviate the adverse impact of COVID-19 on the resilience of banks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    4. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2021. "Does Macroprudential Policy Leak? Evidence from Non-Bank Credit Intermediation in EU Countries," Working Papers 2021/5, Czech National Bank.
    5. Ms. Juliana Dutra Araujo & Manasa Patnam & Ms. Adina Popescu & Mr. Fabian Valencia & Weijia Yao, 2020. "Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates," IMF Working Papers 2020/067, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Lorenčič Eva & Festić Mejra, 2021. "The Impact of Seven Macroprudential Policy Instruments on Financial Stability in Six Euro Area Economies," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 21(3), pages 259-290, September.
    7. Hodula, Martin & Ngo, Ngoc Anh, 2024. "Does macroprudential policy leak? Evidence from shadow bank lending in EU countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).

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