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Market power and forward prices

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  • Ruddell, Keith
  • Downward, Anthony
  • Philpott, Andy

Abstract

Our model of strategic behavior in sequential markets exhibits a persistent forward price premium. This premium is not susceptible to arbitrage by speculators on the forward market, since purchasers prefer forward contracts backed by producers with market power.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruddell, Keith & Downward, Anthony & Philpott, Andy, 2018. "Market power and forward prices," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 6-9.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:166:y:2018:i:c:p:6-9
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.02.016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Allaz Blaise & Vila Jean-Luc, 1993. "Cournot Competition, Forward Markets and Efficiency," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 1-16, February.
    2. Koichiro Ito & Mar Reguant, 2016. "Sequential Markets, Market Power, and Arbitrage," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1921-1957, July.
    3. Hendrik Bessembinder & Michael L. Lemmon, 2002. "Equilibrium Pricing and Optimal Hedging in Electricity Forward Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1347-1382, June.
    4. Bowden, Nicholas & Hu, Su & Payne, James, 2009. "Day-Ahead Premiums on the Midwest ISO," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 64-73, March.
    5. Anderson, Edward J. & Hu, Xinmin, 2008. "Forward contracts and market power in an electricity market," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 679-694, May.
    6. Blaise Allaz & Jean-Luc Vila, 1993. "Cournot Competition, Forward Markets and Efficiency," Post-Print hal-00511806, HAL.
    7. Powell, Andrew, 1993. "Trading Forward in an Imperfect Market: The Case of Electricity in Britain," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(417), pages 444-453, March.
    8. Bunn, Derek W. & Chen, Dipeng, 2013. "The forward premium in electricity futures," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 173-186.
    9. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:4:p:1877-1900 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Holmberg, Pär & Tangerås, Thomas & Ahlqvist, Victor, 2018. "Central- versus Self-Dispatch in Electricity Markets," Working Paper Series 1257, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 27 Mar 2019.
    2. David Esteban Rodriguez & Alfredo Trespalacios & David Galeano, 2021. "Risk Transfer in an Electricity Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(21), pages 1-12, October.
    3. Alfredo Trespalacios & Lina M. Cortés & Javier Perote, 2021. "Modeling Electricity Price and Quantity Uncertainty: An Application for Hedging with Forward Contracts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-26, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forward pricing; Electricity markets; Market power; Arbitrage;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • L12 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Monopoly; Monopolization Strategies
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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