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Second-round effects after oil-price shocks: Evidence for the euro area and Germany

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  • Enders, Almira
  • Enders, Zeno

Abstract

We investigate second-round effects caused by oil-price shocks, calculating wage responses net of those movements that are induced through CPI changes. Results show no strong evidence for second-round effects in the euro area, and even less so in Germany.

Suggested Citation

  • Enders, Almira & Enders, Zeno, 2017. "Second-round effects after oil-price shocks: Evidence for the euro area and Germany," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 208-213.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:159:y:2017:i:c:p:208-213
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.08.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kilian, Lutz, 2017. "How the Tight Oil Boom Has Changed Oil and Gasoline Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 11876, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(2 (Fall)), pages 287-357.
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    4. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2013. "How Much Did Oil Market Developments Contribute to the 2009 Recession in Germany?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 115(3), pages 695-721, July.
    5. Gert Peersman & Ine van Robays, 2009. "Oil and the Euro area economy [Labour market implications of EU product market integration]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 24(60), pages 603-651.
    6. Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June.
    7. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Sims, Eric R., 2012. "Confidence and the transmission of government spending shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 235-249.
    8. Herwartz, Helmut & Plödt, Martin, 2016. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks: Evidence from a statistical identification approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 30-44.
    9. Riggi, Marianna & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2015. "The time varying effect of oil price shocks on euro-area exports," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 75-94.
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    Cited by:

    1. Moussa, Richard K. & Ousseini, Bouba & Taha, Cyrille K., 2024. "Asymmetric effects of oil prices on inflation in Côte d’Ivoire," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
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    3. Nyakundi M. Michieka & Richard S. Gearhart, 2022. "Oil price changes and wages: a nonlinear and asymmetric approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 1-71, February.
    4. Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Huang, Shiangtsz & Lin, Tzu-Yu, 2022. "How do oil prices affect emerging market sovereign bond spreads?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    5. Stefano Neri, 2024. "There has been an awakening. The rise (and fall) of inflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 834, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Second-round effects; Oil-price shocks; VARs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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