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The impact of income-driven changes in global consumption patterns on Kyoto Gas emissions during the twenty-first century

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  • Bones, Simon
  • Timmerman, Richard M.

Abstract

Global 21st century Kyoto Gas emissions growth as forecast in SSP2 (a middle-of-the-road future climate scenario) is largely driven by expected: (a) per-capita GDP growth; and (b) energy/non-CO2 GDP intensity reduction. While models of the former have been comprehensively critiqued, the rationale for the latter has not.

Suggested Citation

  • Bones, Simon & Timmerman, Richard M., 2025. "The impact of income-driven changes in global consumption patterns on Kyoto Gas emissions during the twenty-first century," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:227:y:2025:i:c:s0921800924002696
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108372
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