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Toward the carbon neutrality: Forest carbon sinks and its spatial spillover effect in China

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  • Zhao, Na
  • Wang, Keqing
  • Yuan, Yongna

Abstract

Developing forest carbon sinks is very important for China to achieve carbon neutrality. However, the forest resource distribution is spatially dependent, and forest carbon sinks cannot be sufficiently developed in an isolated pattern. Therefore, based on the spatial panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2003 to 2019, this study establishes a spatial econometric model and identifies transregional spillover effects of forest carbon sinks. The results show that the forest carbon sinks do have transregional spatial correlation characteristics. In addition to similar ecological environment factors in adjacent regions, the forest carbon sinks are closely related to the economic development structure and related policies. The proportion of the forest area and urbanization level are positively correlated with the forest carbon sinks in the region and neighboring regions, but the amount of deforestation and transport infrastructure level has a negative effect. Implementing carbon trading pilot programs in one region can promote the development of its local forest carbon sinks, but it has a negative spillover effect on the other regions. Furthermore, environmental regulation has a positive spillover effect on neighboring regions, whereas forestry production efficiency has a negative spillover effect. Some policy implications are proposed according to the results and China's realistic characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhao, Na & Wang, Keqing & Yuan, Yongna, 2023. "Toward the carbon neutrality: Forest carbon sinks and its spatial spillover effect in China," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:209:y:2023:i:c:s0921800923001003
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2023.107837
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    1. Luhao Jia & Mingya Wang & Shili Yang & Fan Zhang & Yidong Wang & Penghao Li & Wanqi Ma & Shaobo Sui & Tong Liu & Mingshi Wang, 2024. "Analysis of Agricultural Carbon Emissions and Carbon Sinks in the Yellow River Basin Based on LMDI and Tapio Decoupling Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-26, January.
    2. Guangyue Xu & Peter Schwarz & Xiaojing Shi & Nathan Duma, 2023. "Scenario Paths of Developing Forest Carbon Sinks for China to Achieve Carbon Neutrality," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Jia, Zhijie & Wu, Rongxin & Liu, Yu & Wen, Shiyan & Lin, Boqiang, 2024. "Can carbon tariffs based on domestic embedded carbon emissions reduce more carbon leakages?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    4. Ziqiang Zhang & Jie He & Ming Huang & Wei Zhou, 2023. "Is Regulation Protection? Forest Logging Quota Impact on Forest Carbon Sinks in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-24, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forest carbon sinks; Spatial correlation; Spatial spillover effect; Carbon neutrality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry
    • Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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