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Analyzing quantile spillover effects among international financial markets

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  • Wang, Jie
  • Liu, Tangyong
  • Pan, Na

Abstract

This paper investigates the quantile-based spillover effects among 17 stock markets from January 1993 to January 2022, utilizing a quantile approach based on the variance decomposition of a quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) model. Compared with the traditional mean-based spillover measures, this new quantile approach allows for a nuanced investigation of spillovers at every quantile and capture spillovers under extreme events. The results show that: (1) the total spillover is high and exhibits strong time-varying characteristics, and the tail spillover is higher and more complex in scale and direction; (2) the spillover at each quantile level shows an upward trend, especially during the 2008 crisis and the COVID-19 epidemic; (3) developed countries (or regions) are the net exporters of stock market spillovers, while the developing countries are the net importers; and (4) the 17 stock markets constitute different local financial networks, which may be related to economic conditions and geographical location.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Jie & Liu, Tangyong & Pan, Na, 2023. "Analyzing quantile spillover effects among international financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:64:y:2023:i:c:s1062940823000049
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2023.101881
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    Cited by:

    1. Long, Shaobo & Li, Zixuan, 2023. "Dynamic spillover effects of global financial stress: Evidence from the quantile VAR network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Zhongzheng, Wang, 2023. "Extreme risk transmission mechanism between oil, green bonds and new energy vehicles," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 2(3).
    3. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wang, Zu-Shan & Yunis, Manal & Kchouri, Bilal, 2023. "Spillovers and connectedness among climate policy uncertainty, energy, green bond and carbon markets: A global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    4. Zhang, Xu & Lv, Zhiyu & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Rauf, Abdul & Liu, Jiawen, 2024. "Decomposing risk spillover effect in international stock market: A novel intertemporal network topology approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quantile spillovers; Quantile vector autoregressive model; Total spillover index; Net spillover index; Asymmetry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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