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Short selling constraints and stock returns volatility: Empirical evidence from the German stock market

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  • Bohl, Martin T.
  • Reher, Gerrit
  • Wilfling, Bernd

Abstract

In this paper, we focus on the impact of short selling restrictions on stock returns volatility. In order to assess the potential effects econometrically, we apply two distinct versions of an asymmetric Markov-switching GARCH model to the short selling bans on stocks of financial enterprises in Germany, that were established between September 2008 and July 2010. We find empirical evidence that the financial crisis was accompanied by an increase in volatility persistence and that this effect was particularly pronounced for those stocks that were subject to short selling constraints. We interpret this finding as evidence of a destabilizing impact of short selling constraints on stock returns volatility.

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  • Bohl, Martin T. & Reher, Gerrit & Wilfling, Bernd, 2016. "Short selling constraints and stock returns volatility: Empirical evidence from the German stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 159-166.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:58:y:2016:i:c:p:159-166
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.05.025
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    Cited by:

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    2. Dammak, Wael & Boutouria, Nahla & Ben Hamad, Salah & de Peretti, Christian, 2023. "Investor behavior in the currency option market during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    3. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender, 2020. "Infected Markets: Novel Coronavirus, Government Interventions, and Stock Return Volatility around the Globe," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    4. He, Jingbin & Ma, Xinru & Wei, Qu, 2022. "Firm-level short selling and the local COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    5. Miralles-Quirós, José Luis & Miralles-Quirós, María Mar, 2019. "Are alternative energies a real alternative for investors?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 535-545.
    6. Wael DAMMAK, 2024. "Assessing Effect of Market Sentiment on Pricing of European Currency Options ‎," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(6), pages 1224-1244, June.
    7. José Luis Miralles-Quirós & María Mar Miralles-Quirós, 2021. "Alternative Financial Methods for Improving the Investment in Renewable Energy Companies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-25, May.
    8. Duong, Huu Nhan & Kalev, Petko S. & Tian, Xiao, 2023. "Short selling, divergence of opinion and volatility in the corporate bond market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    9. Nathalie Oriol & Iryna Veryzhenko, 2019. "Market structure or traders' behavior? A multi agent model to assess flash crash phenomena and their regulation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 1075-1092, July.
    10. Zghal, Imen & Ben Hamad, Salah & Eleuch, Hichem & Nobanee, Haitham, 2020. "The effect of market sentiment and information asymmetry on option pricing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    11. Patel, Harihar & Guidi, Francesco, 2024. "The effect of the 2008–09 short selling sales ban on UK security equities in relation to market metrics of volatility, liquidity, and price discovery," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    12. Dammak, Wael & Hamad, Salah Ben & de Peretti, Christian & Eleuch, Hichem, 2023. "Pricing of European currency options considering the dynamic information costs," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial market regulation; Short selling constraints; Stock returns volatility; Markov-switching GARCH models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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