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Do rating grades convey important information: German evidence?

Author

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  • Kenjegaliev, Amangeldi
  • Duygun, Meryem
  • Mamedshakhova, Djamila

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the impact of credit rating changes on German stock market. We evaluate daily abnormal stock returns of companies listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange (HDAX). Rating upgrades and downgrades are made by three rating agencies: Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and Fitch Ratings. We find that rating announcements are largely anticipated, i.e. German market adjusts stock prices long before the rating changes have been made. Additionally, we report that the market, along with anticipating the rating change, reacts stronger to downgrades compared to upgrades.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenjegaliev, Amangeldi & Duygun, Meryem & Mamedshakhova, Djamila, 2016. "Do rating grades convey important information: German evidence?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 334-344.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:53:y:2016:i:c:p:334-344
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.11.021
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    Cited by:

    1. Stephen G. Hall & Amangeldi Kenjegaliev, 2017. "The effect of oil price changes on the price of Russian and Chinese oil shares," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1639-1656, December.
    2. Mnasri, Ayman & Nechi, Salem, 2016. "Impact of terrorist attacks on stock market volatility in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 184-202.
    3. Aggarwal, Nidhi & Singh, Manish K. & Thomas, Susan, 2023. "Do decreases in Distance-to-Default predict rating downgrades?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    4. Achsanta, Aldy Fariz & Lepetit, Laetitia & Tarazi, Amine, 2022. "Government ownership of banks: Implications for minority shareholders," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    5. Krishna Reddy & Rudi Bosman & Nawazish Mirza, 2019. "Impact Of Credit Ratings On Stock Returns," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(3), pages 343-366, January.
    6. Basu, Kaushik & Sun, Haokun, 2022. "The power and influence of rating agencies with insights into their misuse," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    7. Wajid Alim & Naqib Ullah Khan & Vince Wanhao Zhang & Helen Huifen Cai & Alexey Mikhaylov & Qiong Yuan, 2024. "Influence of political stability on the stock market returns and volatility: GARCH and EGARCH approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit rating; Stock market; Event study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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