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Nonlinearities and financial contagion in Latin American stock markets

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  • Romero-Meza, Rafael
  • Bonilla, Claudio
  • Benedetti, Hugo
  • Serletis, Apostolos

Abstract

We use the Hinich (1996) portmanteau bicorrelation test to graphically represent nonlinear events detected in Latin American stock markets. We identify the starting, the ending, the intensity, and the persistence of nonlinear episodes. The six episodes identified in the period studied were found to be contemporaneous with international financial crises, which allows us to speculate that the contagion caused by financial crises induces nonlinear dependencies. We advocate that this test could be complementary to traditional tests employed in the study of financial contagion. We observe systematic nonlinear structure in the stock index return series that have been associated with temporary lack of market efficiency. This new approach can help financial analysts and regulators to assess graphically the state of dependence measured by the bicorrelation test as frequently as new information arrives.

Suggested Citation

  • Romero-Meza, Rafael & Bonilla, Claudio & Benedetti, Hugo & Serletis, Apostolos, 2015. "Nonlinearities and financial contagion in Latin American stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 653-656.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:51:y:2015:i:c:p:653-656
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.09.012
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    2. Chopra, Monika & Mehta, Chhavi, 2022. "Is the COVID-19 pandemic more contagious for the Asian stock markets? A comparison with the Asian financial, the US subprime and the Eurozone debt crisis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Magkonis, Georgios & Tsopanakis, Andreas, 2020. "The Financial Connectedness Between Eurozone Core And Periphery: A Disaggregated View," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(7), pages 1674-1699, October.
    4. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Caliskan Terzioglu, Hande & Kilic, Yunus & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Dibooglu, Sel, 2024. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk: Evidence from global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    5. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Ahmad, Nasir & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Dependence dynamics of stock markets during COVID-19," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    6. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2024. "Financial contagion and networks among the oil and BRICS stock markets during seven episodes of crisis events," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    7. Neha Seth & Monica Sighania, 2017. "Financial market contagion: selective review of reviews," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 391-408, November.
    8. Ana Carolina Costa Correa & Tabajara Pimenta Júnior & Luiz Eduardo Gaio, 2018. "Interdependence and asymmetries: Latin American ADRs and developed markets," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 15(4), pages 391-409, July.
    9. Chen, Peng, 2018. "Understanding international stock market comovements: A comparison of developed and emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 451-464.
    10. Fredj Jawadi & Souhir Chlibi & Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou, 2019. "Computing stock price comovements with a three-regime panel smooth transition error correction model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 274(1), pages 331-345, March.
    11. Alexakis, Christos & Pappas, Vasileios, 2018. "Sectoral dynamics of financial contagion in Europe - The cases of the recent crises episodes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 222-239.
    12. Magnolia Miriam Sosa Castro & Christian Bucio Pacheco & Alejandra Cabello Rosales, 2018. "Contagion and Stock Interdependence in the BRIC+M Block," Economía: teoría y práctica, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, México, vol. 48(1), pages 173-196, Enero-Jun.
    13. Domingo Rodríguez Benavides & Ignacio Perrotini Hernández, 2019. "Las correlaciones dinámicas de contagio financiero:Estados Unidos y América Latina," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 14(2), pages 151-168, Abril-Jun.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nonlinear behavior; Hinich bicorrelation test; Financial contagion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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