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Insider trading and information revelation with the introduction of futures markets

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  • Hsu, Chih-Hsiang
  • Lee, Hsiu-Chuan

Abstract

We establish a theoretical model with informed trading in which both of individual stock futures and its underlying stock are traded in the market. With the introduction of the futures, the paper shows that an informed trader's position of futures usually motivates him or her to trade more aggressively in the stock market at the expiration day. This also worsens the adverse selection problem and makes the stock market become less liquid. Moreover, the increase of the informed trading accelerates the information revelation and improves market efficiency on the expiration date. Finally, our results suggest that price manipulation could be one factor that affects the market liquidity and market efficiency when the futures are introduced into the market.

Suggested Citation

  • Hsu, Chih-Hsiang & Lee, Hsiu-Chuan, 2014. "Insider trading and information revelation with the introduction of futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 173-182.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:43:y:2014:i:c:p:173-182
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.07.037
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chu, Chien Chi & Chang, Chiao Yi & Zhou, Rui Jie, 2021. "The nonlinear connection between 52-week high and announcement effect of insider trading — Evidence from mainland China and Taiwan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1043-1057.
    2. Hsu, Chih-Hsiang, 2016. "Strategic noise trading of later-informed traders in a multi-market framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 235-243.
    3. Rannou, Yves, 2019. "Limit order books, uninformed traders and commodity derivatives: Insights from the European carbon futures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 387-410.
    4. Hsu, Chih-Hsiang, 2021. "The predictability of the return correlation of futures with different expirations in the Chinese futures market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Wang, Kun Tracy & Wang, Wanbin Walter, 2017. "Competition in the stock market with asymmetric information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 40-49.
    6. Zhou, Deqing & Zhen, Fang, 2021. "Risk aversion, informative noise trading, and long-lived information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 247-254.
    7. Liu, Hui & Chang, Yufan & Zuo, Man, 2023. "Key audit matters and insider trading profitability: Evidence from China," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3).

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