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Do real interest rates converge across East Asian countries based on China?

Author

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  • Liu, Yan
  • Chang, Hsu-Ling
  • Su, Chi-Wei

Abstract

This study applies the sequential panel selection method (SPSM), proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009), to assess the non-stationary properties of the real interest rates relative to China for ten East Asian countries. SPSM can classify the whole panel into a group of stationary series and a group of non-stationary series. We clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes and provide robust evidence to indicate that RIRP holds true for five countries. It implies that the choices and effectiveness of the monetary and fiscal policies in the East Asian economies will be highly influenced by external factors originating from China. Also, our findings point out that real interest rate convergence relative to China is mean reverting toward RIRP equilibrium values in a non-linear way.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Yan & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Su, Chi-Wei, 2013. "Do real interest rates converge across East Asian countries based on China?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 467-473.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:31:y:2013:i:c:p:467-473
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.12.023
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    2. Abdullah Gulcu & Dilem Yildirim, 2018. "Smooth Breaks And Nonlinear Mean Reversion In Real Interest Parity: Evidence From East Asian Countries," ERC Working Papers 1804, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Feb 2018.
    3. Su, Chi-Wei & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Chang, Tsangyao & Yin, Kedong, 2014. "Monetary convergence in East Asian countries relative to China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 228-237.
    4. Ewe Ghee Lim & Soo Khoon Goh, 2016. "Is Malaysia exempted from the impossible trinity? An empirical analysis for an emerging market," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 131-147, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real interest rate parity; Sequential panel selection method; Fourier function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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