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International spillovers of conventional versus new monetary policy

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  • Hashmi, Aamir Rafique
  • Nsafoah, Dennis

Abstract

We use a calibrated open-economy New Keynesian model to compare the spillovers from conventional and new monetary policy shocks from the US to Canada. We find that shocks with similar effects on the US GDP affect Canada’s private bond yield differently. For example, a forward guidance shock increases Canada’s private bond yield by 0.15%, however a quantitative easing (QE) shock decreases it by 0.13%. Our counterfactual policy simulations for the 2008 crisis show that (1) a more aggressive QE by the Fed would have resulted in a milder recession in the US but a steeper one in Canada. (2) If the Bank of Canada had followed the Fed’s QE policies, the drop in Canada’s GDP would have been much smaller. (3) Finally, if the Fed had implemented a mild negative interest rate policy, the effects on the Canadian economy would be similar to those of the benchmark zero-rate policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Hashmi, Aamir Rafique & Nsafoah, Dennis, 2024. "International spillovers of conventional versus new monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:139:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324001688
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106812
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    Cited by:

    1. Nsafoah, Dennis & Dery, Cosmas, 2024. "Effect of conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks on housing prices in Canada," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Donald Coletti, 2023. "A Blueprint for the Fourth Generation of Bank of Canada Projection and Policy Analysis Models," Discussion Papers 2023-23, Bank of Canada.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; International spillovers; Zero lower bound; Unconventional monetary policy; Small open-economy New Keynesian model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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