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Interest rate swaps and corporate default

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  • Jermann, Urban J.
  • Yue, Vivian Z.

Abstract

This paper studies firms’ usage of interest rate swaps in a model economy driven by aggregate productivity shocks, inflation shocks, and counter-cyclical idiosyncratic productivity risk. Consistent with empirical evidence, firms in the model are fixed-rate payers. Counter-cyclical productivity risk is key for this finding; inflation risk contributes to producing the opposite outcome. Also consistent with empirical evidence, swap positions are negatively correlated with the term spread, so that firms appear to be timing the market. In the model, swaps generate only small economic gains for the typical firm.

Suggested Citation

  • Jermann, Urban J. & Yue, Vivian Z., 2018. "Interest rate swaps and corporate default," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 104-120.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:88:y:2018:i:c:p:104-120
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.01.022
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Urban J Jermann, 2020. "Negative Swap Spreads and Limited Arbitrage," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(1), pages 212-238.
    2. Kristina Garskaite-Milvydiene & Raimonda Martinkute-Kauliene, 2021. "Examination of the Relationship between Derivative Financial Instruments and the Economic Development of Lithuania," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 15(2), April.
    3. Bai, Hang, 2021. "Unemployment and credit risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 127-145.
    4. Mariya Gubareva & Maria Rosa Borges, 2018. "Rethinking economic capital management through the integrated derivative-based treatment of interest rate and credit risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 71-100, July.
    5. Ma, Chang & Valencia, Fabián, 2024. "Welfare gains from market insurance: The case of Mexican oil price risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    6. Raymond Kim, 2021. "Disproportionate costs of uncertainty: Small bank hedging and Dodd‐Frank," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 686-709, May.
    7. Sven Klingler & Suresh Sundaresan, 2018. "An explanation of negative swap spreads: demand for duration from underfunded pension plans," BIS Working Papers 705, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Mariya Gubareva, 2018. "Historical Interest Rate Sensitivity of Emerging Market Sovereign Debt: Evidence of Regime Dependent Behavior," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 405-442, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest rate swaps; Corporate default; Derivative usage; Firm borrowing and investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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