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Entropy method combined with extreme learning machine method for the short-term photovoltaic power generation forecasting

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  • Tang, Pingzhou
  • Chen, Di
  • Hou, Yushuo

Abstract

As the world’s energy problem becomes more severe day by day, photovoltaic power generation has opened a new door for us with no doubt. It will provide an effective solution for this severe energy problem and meet human’s needs for energy if we can apply photovoltaic power generation in real life, Similar to wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation is uncertain. Therefore, the forecast of photovoltaic power generation is very crucial. In this paper, entropy method and extreme learning machine (ELM) method were combined to forecast a short-term photovoltaic power generation. First, entropy method is used to process initial data, train the network through the data after unification, and then forecast electricity generation. Finally, the data results obtained through the entropy method with ELM were compared with that generated through generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and radial basis function neural network (RBF) method. We found that entropy method combining with ELM method possesses higher accuracy and the calculation is faster.

Suggested Citation

  • Tang, Pingzhou & Chen, Di & Hou, Yushuo, 2016. "Entropy method combined with extreme learning machine method for the short-term photovoltaic power generation forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 243-248.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:89:y:2016:i:c:p:243-248
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.008
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    1. Liu, Tong & Xu, Gang & Cai, Peng & Tian, Longhu & Huang, Qili, 2011. "Development forecast of renewable energy power generation in China and its influence on the GHG control strategy of the country," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1284-1292.
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    3. Yin, Wansi & Han, Yutong & Zhou, Hai & Ma, Ming & Li, Li & Zhu, Honglu, 2020. "A novel non-iterative correction method for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 23-32.
    4. Yang, Hufang & Jiang, Ping & Wang, Ying & Li, Hongmin, 2022. "A fuzzy intelligent forecasting system based on combined fuzzification strategy and improved optimization algorithm for renewable energy power generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
    5. Ning Li & Fuxing He & Wentao Ma, 2019. "Wind Power Prediction Based on Extreme Learning Machine with Kernel Mean p -Power Error Loss," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-19, February.
    6. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Sikinioti-Lock, Alexandra & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Machine-learning methods for integrated renewable power generation: A comparative study of artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and Gaussian Process Regression," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 513-538.
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    8. Miguel López Santos & Xela García-Santiago & Fernando Echevarría Camarero & Gonzalo Blázquez Gil & Pablo Carrasco Ortega, 2022. "Application of Temporal Fusion Transformer for Day-Ahead PV Power Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-22, July.
    9. Tawn, R. & Browell, J., 2022. "A review of very short-term wind and solar power forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    10. Zhou, Yi & Zhou, Nanrun & Gong, Lihua & Jiang, Minlin, 2020. "Prediction of photovoltaic power output based on similar day analysis, genetic algorithm and extreme learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    11. Dash, Deepak Ranjan & Dash, P.K. & Bisoi, Ranjeeta, 2021. "Short term solar power forecasting using hybrid minimum variance expanded RVFLN and Sine-Cosine Levy Flight PSO algorithm," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 513-537.
    12. Luo, Xing & Zhang, Dongxiao & Zhu, Xu, 2021. "Deep learning based forecasting of photovoltaic power generation by incorporating domain knowledge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    13. Lahmiri, Salim & Tadj, Chakib & Gargour, Christian & Bekiros, Stelios, 2021. "Characterization of infant healthy and pathological cry signals in cepstrum domain based on approximate entropy and correlation dimension," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

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