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Investor sentiment, limits on arbitrage, and the performance of cross-country stock market anomalies

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  • Zaremba, Adam

Abstract

The behavioral finance view of anomalies suggests that mispricing stems from investor irrationality that could not easily be arbitraged away. We test the implications of this concept at the country level. This study examines whether market-wide measures of investor sentiment and arbitrage constraints affect the performance of cross-country stock market anomalies. Thus, we first categorize and replicate at the country level a set of 50 parallels of stock-level anomalies documented in the academic literature. Having determined 15 of them to be reliable and robust sources of return, we investigate their relationship to the limits on arbitrage and market-wide sentiment. We observe that variation in market sentiment plays an important role in returns on cross-country value strategies, whereas tight arbitrage conditions negatively influence momentum profits.

Suggested Citation

  • Zaremba, Adam, 2016. "Investor sentiment, limits on arbitrage, and the performance of cross-country stock market anomalies," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 136-163.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:9:y:2016:i:c:p:136-163
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2015.11.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Zaremba, Adam & Mikutowski, Mateusz & Karathanasopoulos, Andreas & Osman, Mohamed, 2019. "Picking winners to pick your winners: The momentum effect in commodity risk factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Javier Rojo-Suárez & Ana Belén Alonso-Conde, 2020. "Impact of consumer confidence on the expected returns of the Tokyo Stock Exchange: A comparative analysis of consumption and production-based asset pricing models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(11), pages 1-31, November.
    3. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, June.
    4. Zaremba, Adam, 2016. "Risk-based explanation for the country-level size and value effects," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 226-233.
    5. Kumar, Satish & Rao, Sandeep & Goyal, Kirti & Goyal, Nisha, 2022. "Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance: A bibliometric overview," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    6. Chen, Zhongdong & Schmidt, Adam & Wang, Jin’ai, 2021. "Retail investor risk-seeking, attention, and the January effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    7. Zaremba, Adam & Umutlu, Mehmet & Karathanasopoulos, Andreas, 2019. "Alpha momentum and alpha reversal in country and industry equity indexes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 144-161.
    8. Muhammad Irfan & Raima Adeel & Muhammad Shaukat Malik, 2023. "The Impact of Emotional Finance, and Market Knowledge and Investor Protection on Investment Performance in Stock and Real Estate Markets," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.
    9. Jasiniak Magdalena, 2018. "Determinants of Investment Decisions on the Capital Market," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 14(2), pages 1-8, June.
    10. Zaremba, Adam & Schabek, Tomasz, 2017. "Seasonality in government bond returns and factor premia," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 292-302.
    11. Zaremba, Adam & Mikutowski, Mateusz & Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Karathanasopoulos, Andreas, 2021. "The alpha momentum effect in commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    12. Zaremba, Adam & Szyszka, Adam, 2016. "Is there momentum in equity anomalies? Evidence from the Polish emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 546-564.
    13. Umutlu, Mehmet & Bengitöz, Pelin, 2020. "The cross-section of industry equity returns and global tactical asset allocation across regions and industries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    14. Zaremba, Adam, 2019. "Price range and the cross-section of expected country and industry returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 174-189.
    15. Kostyantyn MALYSHENKO & Vadim MALYSHENKO & Elena Yu. PONOMAREVA & Marina ANASHKINA, 2019. "Analysis of the stock market anomalies in the context of changing the information paradigm," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 10, pages 239-270, June.
    16. Zaremba, Adam & Okoń, Szymon & Asyngier, Roman & Schroeter, Lucia, 2019. "Reverse splits in international stock markets: Reconciling the evidence on long-term returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 552-562.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Anomalies; Country asset allocation; Return predictability; Asset pricing; Limits on arbitrage; Sentiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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