IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/beexfi/v38y2023ics2214635023000242.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Intentional and spurious herding behavior: A sentiment driven analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Filip, Angela Maria
  • Pochea, Maria Miruna

Abstract

By using several Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices, this paper explores the nexus between investors’ sentiments and herding behavior in the U.S. and Europe stock markets from January 2005 to June 2021. We apply the state–space model approach of Hwang and Salmon (2004), controlling for changes in investors’ emotionality, and document that herding is a persistent phenomenon in both markets. These effects remain robust when using the alternative methodology of Chang et al. (2004). Moreover, we find evidence of herding behavior under both extreme positive and negative sentiments, with a conspicuous effect on euphoria days, particularly in the U.S. market.

Suggested Citation

  • Filip, Angela Maria & Pochea, Maria Miruna, 2023. "Intentional and spurious herding behavior: A sentiment driven analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:38:y:2023:i:c:s2214635023000242
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2023.100810
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214635023000242
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jbef.2023.100810?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Economou, Fotini & Kostakis, Alexandros & Philippas, Nikolaos, 2011. "Cross-country effects in herding behaviour: Evidence from four south European markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 443-460, July.
    2. Duygun, Meryem & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2021. "Herding by corporates in the US and the Eurozone through different market conditions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    3. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1645-1680, August.
    4. Chang, Eric C. & Cheng, Joseph W. & Khorana, Ajay, 2000. "An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1651-1679, October.
    5. Lewellen, Jonathan & Nagel, Stefan, 2006. "The conditional CAPM does not explain asset-pricing anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 289-314, November.
    6. Hwang, Soosung & Rubesam, Alexandre & Salmon, Mark, 2021. "Beta herding through overconfidence: A behavioral explanation of the low-beta anomaly," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    7. Mr. Sunil Sharma & Sushil Bikhchandani, 2000. "Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Review," IMF Working Papers 2000/048, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Hwang, Soosung & Salmon, Mark, 2004. "Market stress and herding," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 585-616, September.
    9. Bekiros, Stelios & Jlassi, Mouna & Lucey, Brian & Naoui, Kamel & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2017. "Herding behavior, market sentiment and volatility: Will the bubble resume?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 107-131.
    10. Ang, Andrew & Chen, Joseph, 2007. "CAPM over the long run: 1926-2001," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 1-40, January.
    11. Gregory W. Brown & Michael T. Cliff, 2005. "Investor Sentiment and Asset Valuation," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(2), pages 405-440, March.
    12. Svetlana Borovkova & Evgeny Garmaev & Philip Lammers & Jordi Rustige, 2017. "SenSR: A sentiment-based systemic risk indicator," DNB Working Papers 553, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    13. Chiang, Thomas C. & Zheng, Dazhi, 2010. "An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1911-1921, August.
    14. Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio & Ballinari, Daniele, 2020. "The impact of sentiment and attention measures on stock market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 334-357.
    15. Ukpong, Idibekeabasi & Tan, Handy & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2021. "Determinants of industry herding in the US stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    16. Sun, Licheng & Najand, Mohammad & Shen, Jiancheng, 2016. "Stock return predictability and investor sentiment: A high-frequency perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 147-164.
    17. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria Miruna, 2022. "The nexus between bank connectedness and investors’ sentiment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    18. Ferreruela, Sandra & Mallor, Tania, 2021. "Herding in the bad times: The 2008 and COVID-19 crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    19. Paul C. Tetlock, 2007. "Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1139-1168, June.
    20. Galariotis, Emilios C. & Rong, Wu & Spyrou, Spyros I., 2015. "Herding on fundamental information: A comparative study," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 589-598.
    21. Gerson de Souza Raimundo Júnior & Rafael Baptista Palazzi & Ricardo de Souza Tavares & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle, 2022. "Market Stress and Herding: A New Approach to the Cryptocurrency Market," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 43-57, January.
    22. Kearney, Colm & Liu, Sha, 2014. "Textual sentiment in finance: A survey of methods and models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 171-185.
    23. Jia, Boxiang & Shen, Dehua & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Extreme sentiment and herding: Evidence from the cryptocurrency market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    24. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    25. Rubesam, Alexandre & Raimundo, Gerson de Souza, 2022. "Covid-19 and herding in global equity markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    26. Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos & Verwijmeren, Patrick, 2014. "Facebook's daily sentiment and international stock markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 730-743.
    27. Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Huang, Yingbo, 2018. "The role of investor sentiment in the long-term correlation between U.S. stock and bond markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 127-139.
    28. Bohl, Martin T. & Branger, Nicole & Trede, Mark, 2017. "The case for herding is stronger than you think," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 30-40.
    29. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1996. "Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 55-84, March.
    30. Júnior, Gerson de Souza Raimundo & Palazzi, Rafael Baptista & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & Pinto, Antonio Carlos Figueiredo, 2020. "Analyzing herding behavior in commodities markets – an empirical approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    31. Maria-Miruna Pochea & Angela-Maria Filip & Andreea-Maria Pece, 2017. "Herding Behavior in CEE Stock Markets Under Asymmetric Conditions: A Quantile Regression Analysis," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 400-416, October.
    32. Gan, Baoqing & Alexeev, Vitali & Bird, Ron & Yeung, Danny, 2020. "Sensitivity to sentiment: News vs social media," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    33. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1995. "Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 131-155, March.
    34. Mobarek, Asma & Mollah, Sabur & Keasey, Kevin, 2014. "A cross-country analysis of herd behavior in Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 107-127.
    35. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria Miruna, 2020. "Time-varying dependence in European equity markets: A contagion and investor sentiment driven analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 133-147.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maxim S. Faizulin, 2024. "Sentiment and Herd Behavior of Private Investors: A Cluster Analysis of the Russian Stock Market," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 4, pages 95-113, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Duygun, Meryem & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2021. "Herding by corporates in the US and the Eurozone through different market conditions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    2. Alexakis, Christos & Chantziaras, Antonios & Economou, Fotini & Eleftheriou, Konstantinos & Grose, Christos, 2023. "Animal Behavior in Capital markets: Herding formation dynamics, trading volume, and the role of COVID-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Hasan, Iftekhar & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Herding behavior and systemic risk in global stock markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 107-133.
    4. Puput Tri Komalasari & Marwan Asri & Bernardinus M. Purwanto & Bowo Setiyono, 2022. "Herding behaviour in the capital market: What do we know and what is next?," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 745-787, September.
    5. Rubesam, Alexandre & Raimundo, Gerson de Souza, 2022. "Covid-19 and herding in global equity markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    6. Wang, Xinru & Kim, Maria H. & Suardi, Sandy, 2022. "Herding and China's market-wide circuit breaker," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    7. Galariotis, Emilios C. & Rong, Wu & Spyrou, Spyros I., 2015. "Herding on fundamental information: A comparative study," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 589-598.
    8. Indārs, Edgars Rihards & Savin, Aliaksei & Lublóy, Ágnes, 2019. "Herding behaviour in an emerging market: Evidence from the Moscow Exchange," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 468-487.
    9. Costa, Filipe & Fortuna, Natércia & Lobão, Júlio, 2024. "Herding states and stock market returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Saadaoui Mallek, Ray & Albaity, Mohamed & Molyneux, Philip, 2022. "Herding behaviour heterogeneity under economic and political risks: Evidence from GCC," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 345-361.
    11. Yi-Chang Chen & Hung-Che Wu & Jen-Jsung Huang, 2017. "Herd Behavior and Rational Expectations: A Test of China's Market Using Quantile Regression," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 649-663.
    12. Arjoon, Vaalmikki & Bhatnagar, Chandra Shekhar & Ramlakhan, Prakash, 2020. "Herding in the Singapore stock Exchange," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    13. Lee, Kyuseok, 2017. "Herd behavior of the overall market: Evidence based on the cross-sectional comovement of returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 266-284.
    14. Santi, Caterina & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2023. "Exploring style herding by mutual funds," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    15. Ivasiuc Arina, 2023. "Herding Behavior in Frontier Nordic Countries," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 68(1), pages 21-41, April.
    16. Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2019. "Herding behavior in cryptocurrencies revisited: Novel evidence from a TVP model," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 57-63.
    17. Galariotis, Emilios C. & Krokida, Styliani-Iris & Spyrou, Spyros I., 2016. "Herd behavior and equity market liquidity: Evidence from major markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 140-149.
    18. Ferreruela, Sandra & Mallor, Tania, 2021. "Herding in the bad times: The 2008 and COVID-19 crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    19. Cooper, Michael J. & Gubellini, Stefano, 2011. "The critical role of conditioning information in determining if value is really riskier than growth," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 289-305, March.
    20. Syed Riaz Mahmood Ali, 2022. "Herding in different states and terms: evidence from the cryptocurrency market," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(4), pages 322-336, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Herding behavior; Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices (TRMI); Investors’ sentiments; Cross-sectional standard deviation of betas; Cross-sectional absolute deviation of returns;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:38:y:2023:i:c:s2214635023000242. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-behavioral-and-experimental-finance .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.