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Weekday seasonality of stock returns: The contrary case of China

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  • Ali, Fahad
  • Ülkü, Numan

Abstract

We document that Chinese stock returns exhibit early-in-the-week effects opposite-signed to those observed worldwide. The period of analysis is 2001–2016. Dominated by individual investors, Chinese stock markets offer unique out-of-sample insight regarding the source of weekday seasonality, ascribed elsewhere to institutional investors’ trading patterns. High returns to the market and to small, speculative stocks early-in-the-week pose a refuter to the mood explanation for the conventional (negative) Monday effect. A battery of tests suggests that the patterns in the Market, SMB, and RMW factors are jointly associated with Chinese individual investors whose demand is tilted towards small, speculative stocks. Our findings point to a potential role of dominant investor type in driving weekday patterns and the RMW premium.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali, Fahad & Ülkü, Numan, 2020. "Weekday seasonality of stock returns: The contrary case of China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:68:y:2020:i:c:s1049007820300452
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2020.101201
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Ali, Fahad & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Identifying diversifiers, hedges, and safe havens among Asia Pacific equity markets during COVID-19: New results for ongoing portfolio allocation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 744-792.
    5. Jiang, Zhe & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Lingling & Wen, Bo, 2022. "Investor sentiment and machine learning: Predicting the price of China's crude oil futures market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    6. Li, Zhiyong & Wan, Yifan & Wang, Tianyi & Yu, Mei, 2023. "Factor-timing in the Chinese factor zoo: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    7. Badal Khan & Muhammad Aqil & Syed Hasnain Alam Kazmi & Syed Imran Zaman, 2023. "Day‐of‐the‐week effect and market liquidity: A comparative study from emerging stock markets of Asia†," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 544-561, January.
    8. Li, Wenhui & Zhu, Qi & Wen, Fenghua & Nor, Normaziah Mohd, 2022. "The evolution of day-of-the-week and the implications in crude oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    9. Guo, Shuxin & Yuan, Yue & Ma, Feng, 2022. "Cross-sectional seasonalities and seasonal reversals: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Weekday patterns in stock returns; Fama-French five-factors; RMW factor; Chinese stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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