IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v91y2012i1p375-384.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An efficient sizing method for a stand-alone PV system in terms of the observed block extremes

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Shin-Guang

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel and fast sizing method under the constant daily load profile for sizing a stand-alone PV system. The term “efficient sizing” means that the approach did not use simulation but could get the result as good as those employing simulation. So, the sizing method is more efficient than the others. Traditionally, a typical day or a typical year’s solar irradiation profile is employed for the sizing task. However, facing the global warming crisis as well as the fact that no 2years would have the same weather condition for a single site, this approach statistically models the trend of climate change year by year and put it into the sizing formula, so that the results are optimal for the current weather condition and for the future as well. Hence, the suitable size for the PV array and the number of batteries are obtained by purely computation. This is different from the traditional sizing curve method. Although the traditional sizing curve method were satisfactory in the normal cases, they might fail in the extreme climate condition. This paper concludes the behavior of the extreme climate for at least 20years. So, the derived system may have statistical confidence for at least 20years of operation. A new reliability index (Loss of Power Probability) in terms of Extreme Value Theory is introduced. LPP provides upper bound reliability for application and rich information for many extreme events. A technological and economical comparison among the traditional daily energy balance method, sizing curve method and this approach is conducted and shows the usefulness of this approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Shin-Guang, 2012. "An efficient sizing method for a stand-alone PV system in terms of the observed block extremes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 375-384.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:91:y:2012:i:1:p:375-384
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2011.09.043
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030626191100657X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2011.09.043?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yang, Hongxing & Wei, Zhou & Chengzhi, Lou, 2009. "Optimal design and techno-economic analysis of a hybrid solar-wind power generation system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 163-169, February.
    2. Zhou, Wei & Lou, Chengzhi & Li, Zhongshi & Lu, Lin & Yang, Hongxing, 2010. "Current status of research on optimum sizing of stand-alone hybrid solar-wind power generation systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 380-389, February.
    3. Fragaki, A. & Markvart, T., 2008. "Stand-alone PV system design: Results using a new sizing approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 162-167.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ren, Zhengen & Paevere, Phillip & Chen, Dong, 2019. "Feasibility of off-grid housing under current and future climates," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 196-211.
    2. Ridha, Hussein Mohammed & Gomes, Chandima & Hizam, Hashim & Ahmadipour, Masoud & Heidari, Ali Asghar & Chen, Huiling, 2021. "Multi-objective optimization and multi-criteria decision-making methods for optimal design of standalone photovoltaic system: A comprehensive review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    3. Casares, F.J. & Lopez-Luque, R. & Posadillo, R. & Varo-Martinez, M., 2014. "Mathematical approach to the characterization of daily energy balance in autonomous photovoltaic solar systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 393-404.
    4. Zhang, Peng & Li, Wenyuan & Li, Sherwin & Wang, Yang & Xiao, Weidong, 2013. "Reliability assessment of photovoltaic power systems: Review of current status and future perspectives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 822-833.
    5. Sarhan, Ameen & Hizam, Hashim & Mariun, Norman & Ya'acob, M.E., 2019. "An improved numerical optimization algorithm for sizing and configuration of standalone photo-voltaic system components in Yemen," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 1434-1446.
    6. Kaplani, E. & Kaplanis, S., 2012. "A stochastic simulation model for reliable PV system sizing providing for solar radiation fluctuations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 970-981.
    7. Elma, Onur & Selamogullari, Ugur Savas, 2012. "A comparative sizing analysis of a renewable energy supplied stand-alone house considering both demand side and source side dynamics," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 400-408.
    8. Tostado-Véliz, Marcos & León-Japa, Rogelio S. & Jurado, Francisco, 2021. "Optimal electrification of off-grid smart homes considering flexible demand and vehicle-to-home capabilities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    9. Ibrahim, Ibrahim Anwar & Khatib, Tamer & Mohamed, Azah, 2017. "Optimal sizing of a standalone photovoltaic system for remote housing electrification using numerical algorithm and improved system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 392-403.
    10. Ibrahim Anwar Ibrahim & Tamer Khatib & Azah Mohamed, 2016. "Impact of Battery’s Model Accuracy on Size Optimization Process of a Standalone Photovoltaic System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-13, September.
    11. Zubi, Ghassan & Dufo-López, Rodolfo & Pasaoglu, Guzay & Pardo, Nicolás, 2016. "Techno-economic assessment of an off-grid PV system for developing regions to provide electricity for basic domestic needs: A 2020–2040 scenario," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 309-319.
    12. Raza, Syed Shabbar & Janajreh, Isam & Ghenai, Chaouki, 2014. "Sustainability index approach as a selection criteria for energy storage system of an intermittent renewable energy source," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 909-920.
    13. Ridha, Hussein Mohammed & Gomes, Chandima & Hizam, Hashim & Mirjalili, Seyedali, 2020. "Multiple scenarios multi-objective salp swarm optimization for sizing of standalone photovoltaic system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1330-1345.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Shin-Guang, 2013. "Bayesian approach for optimal PV system sizing under climate change," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 176-185.
    2. Prasad, Abhnil A. & Taylor, Robert A. & Kay, Merlinde, 2017. "Assessment of solar and wind resource synergy in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 354-367.
    3. Xiangyuan Zheng & Huadong Zheng & Yu Lei & Yi Li & Wei Li, 2020. "An Offshore Floating Wind–Solar–Aquaculture System: Concept Design and Extreme Response in Survival Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-23, January.
    4. Wang, Gang & Zhang, Zhen & Lin, Jianqing, 2024. "Multi-energy complementary power systems based on solar energy: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    5. Sinha, Sunanda & Chandel, S.S., 2015. "Review of recent trends in optimization techniques for solar photovoltaic–wind based hybrid energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 755-769.
    6. Khatib, Tamer & Mohamed, Azah & Sopian, K., 2013. "A review of photovoltaic systems size optimization techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 454-465.
    7. Chen, Hung-Cheng, 2013. "Optimum capacity determination of stand-alone hybrid generation system considering cost and reliability," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 155-164.
    8. Mahesh, Aeidapu & Sandhu, Kanwarjit Singh, 2015. "Hybrid wind/photovoltaic energy system developments: Critical review and findings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1135-1147.
    9. Ma, Tao & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin, 2014. "A feasibility study of a stand-alone hybrid solar–wind–battery system for a remote island," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 149-158.
    10. Gomis-Bellmunt, Oriol & Junyent-Ferré, Adrià & Sumper, Andreas & Galceran-Arellano, Samuel, 2010. "Maximum generation power evaluation of variable frequency offshore wind farms when connected to a single power converter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(10), pages 3103-3109, October.
    11. Elma, Onur & Selamogullari, Ugur Savas, 2012. "A comparative sizing analysis of a renewable energy supplied stand-alone house considering both demand side and source side dynamics," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 400-408.
    12. Li, Zhe & Reynolds, Anthony & Boyle, Fergal, 2014. "Domestic integration of micro-renewable electricity generation in Ireland – The current status and economic reality," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 244-254.
    13. Siddaiah, Rajanna & Saini, R.P., 2016. "A review on planning, configurations, modeling and optimization techniques of hybrid renewable energy systems for off grid applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 376-396.
    14. Zahraee, S.M. & Khalaji Assadi, M. & Saidur, R., 2016. "Application of Artificial Intelligence Methods for Hybrid Energy System Optimization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 617-630.
    15. De Giorgi, Maria Grazia & Ficarella, Antonio & Tarantino, Marco, 2011. "Error analysis of short term wind power prediction models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1298-1311, April.
    16. Kwon, Sunghoon & Won, Wangyun & Kim, Jiyong, 2016. "A superstructure model of an isolated power supply system using renewable energy: Development and application to Jeju Island, Korea," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 177-188.
    17. Zhang, Hengxu & Cao, Yongji & Zhang, Yi & Terzija, Vladimir, 2018. "Quantitative synergy assessment of regional wind-solar energy resources based on MERRA reanalysis data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 172-182.
    18. Gupta, R.A. & Kumar, Rajesh & Bansal, Ajay Kumar, 2015. "BBO-based small autonomous hybrid power system optimization incorporating wind speed and solar radiation forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1366-1375.
    19. Sawle, Yashwant & Gupta, S.C. & Bohre, Aashish Kumar, 2018. "Review of hybrid renewable energy systems with comparative analysis of off-grid hybrid system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2217-2235.
    20. Asma Mohamad Aris & Bahman Shabani, 2015. "Sustainable Power Supply Solutions for Off-Grid Base Stations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-38, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:91:y:2012:i:1:p:375-384. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.