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Evaluation of bioenergy resources with a global land use and energy model formulated with SD technique

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  • Yamamoto, H.
  • Yamaji, K.
  • Fujino, J.

Abstract

Bioenergy is expected to become one of the key energy resources for global sustainable development. However, bioenergy cannot be infinite, because the land area available for biomass production is limited and a certain amount of biomass must be reserved for food and materials. The purpose of this study is to evaluate global bioenergy potential: for this purpose, the authors developed a global land-use and energy model (GLUE) formulated using a SD (System Dynamics) technique. Through a simulation, the following results were obtained. (1) There will be a certain potential for energy crops harvested from surplus arable land in the developed regions of the world. However, care must be taken because the potential is sensitive to the global food supply and demand. (2) There will be a large bioenergy potential for biomass residues, such as cereal-harvesting residues, animal dung, roundwood felling residues, and timber scrap. The ultimate bioenergy potential, from all the biomass residues, will be 277 EJ/yr in A.D. 2100 in the world. (3) The mature-forest area in the developing regions decreases from 2.1 billion ha in 1990 to 0.8 billion ha in 2100, although it is assumed that the felling area is reforested completely after A.D. 2025. Thus, there will not be much room to obtain more fuelwood from forests in the developing regions.

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  • Yamamoto, H. & Yamaji, K. & Fujino, J., 1999. "Evaluation of bioenergy resources with a global land use and energy model formulated with SD technique," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 101-113, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:63:y:1999:i:2:p:101-113
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Edmonds, Jae & Reilly, John, 1983. "A long-term global energy- economic model of carbon dioxide release from fossil fuel use," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 74-88, April.
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    2. Tina D. Beuchelt & Michael Nassl, 2019. "Applying a Sustainable Development Lens to Global Biomass Potentials," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-26, September.
    3. Panichelli, Luis & Gnansounou, Edgard, 2015. "Impact of agricultural-based biofuel production on greenhouse gas emissions from land-use change: Key modelling choices," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 344-360.
    4. Chang, Hung-Hao & Chen, Yu-Hui, 2011. "Are participators in the land retirement program likely to grow energy crops?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(9), pages 3183-3188.
    5. Kenneth Gillingham & Steven Smith & Ronald Sands, 2008. "Impact of bioenergy crops in a carbon dioxide constrained world: an application of the MiniCAM energy-agriculture and land use model," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 13(7), pages 675-701, August.
    6. van Ackere, Ann & Ruud, Morten & Davidsen, Paal, 2005. "Managing a reservoir-based hydro-energy plant: building understanding in the buy and sell decisions in a changing environment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 939-947, May.
    7. Yamamoto, Hiromi & Yamaji, Kenji & Fujino, Junichi, 2000. "Scenario analysis of bioenergy resources and CO2 emissions with a global land use and energy model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(4), pages 325-337, August.
    8. Farooq, Muhammad Khalid & Kumar, S., 2013. "An assessment of renewable energy potential for electricity generation in Pakistan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 240-254.
    9. Prespa Ymeri & Csaba Gyuricza & Csaba Fogarassy, 2020. "Farmers’ Attitudes Towards the Use of Biomass as Renewable Energy—A Case Study from Southeastern Europe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, May.
    10. Dorel Dusmanescu & Jean Andrei & Gheorghe H. Popescu & Elvira Nica & Mirela Panait, 2016. "Heuristic Methodology for Estimating the Liquid Biofuel Potential of a Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-19, August.
    11. Durusut, Emrah & Tahir, Foaad & Foster, Sam & Dineen, Denis & Clancy, Matthew, 2018. "BioHEAT: A policy decision support tool in Ireland’s bioenergy and heat sectors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 306-321.
    12. Ruth Offermann & Thilo Seidenberger & Daniela Thrän & Martin Kaltschmitt & Sergey Zinoviev & Stanislav Miertus, 2011. "Assessment of global bioenergy potentials," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 103-115, January.

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