IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v236y2019icp262-272.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hybrid forecasting model based on long short term memory network and deep learning neural network for wind signal

Author

Listed:
  • Qin, Yong
  • Li, Kun
  • Liang, Zhanhao
  • Lee, Brendan
  • Zhang, Fuyong
  • Gu, Yongcheng
  • Zhang, Lei
  • Wu, Fengzhi
  • Rodriguez, Dragan

Abstract

This paper proposed a training-based method for wind turbine signal forecasting. This proposed model employs a convolutional network, a long short-term memory network as well as a multi-task learning ideas within a signal frame. This method utilized the convolutional network for exploitation of spatial properties from wind field. As well, the mentioned long short-term memory is used for training dynamic features of the wind field. The ideas stated together have been utilized for modeling the impacts of spatio-dynamic construction of wind field on wind turbine responses of interest. So, we implemented this multi-task training method for forecasting the generated WT energy and demand at the same time through a single forecast method, which is the deep neural-network. Performance of our suggested model is confirmed by a real wind field information that is produced by Large Eddy Simulation. This data also include wind turbine reaction information that is simulated using aero-elastic wind turbine construction analyzing software. The obtained results depict that the suggested method can forecast two outputs with a five-percent error by a so short term prediction, which is shorter than 1 m.

Suggested Citation

  • Qin, Yong & Li, Kun & Liang, Zhanhao & Lee, Brendan & Zhang, Fuyong & Gu, Yongcheng & Zhang, Lei & Wu, Fengzhi & Rodriguez, Dragan, 2019. "Hybrid forecasting model based on long short term memory network and deep learning neural network for wind signal," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 262-272.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:236:y:2019:i:c:p:262-272
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.11.063
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261918317690
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.11.063?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ghadimi, Noradin & Akbarimajd, Adel & Shayeghi, Hossein & Abedinia, Oveis, 2018. "Two stage forecast engine with feature selection technique and improved meta-heuristic algorithm for electricity load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 130-142.
    2. Tian, Chengshi & Hao, Yan & Hu, Jianming, 2018. "A novel wind speed forecasting system based on hybrid data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 301-319.
    3. Ait Maatallah, Othman & Achuthan, Ajit & Janoyan, Kerop & Marzocca, Pier, 2015. "Recursive wind speed forecasting based on Hammerstein Auto-Regressive model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 191-197.
    4. Tascikaraoglu, Akin & Sanandaji, Borhan M. & Poolla, Kameshwar & Varaiya, Pravin, 2016. "Exploiting sparsity of interconnections in spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting using Wavelet Transform," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 735-747.
    5. Chen, Kuilin & Yu, Jie, 2014. "Short-term wind speed prediction using an unscented Kalman filter based state-space support vector regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 690-705.
    6. Xiao, Liye & Shao, Wei & Yu, Mengxia & Ma, Jing & Jin, Congjun, 2017. "Research and application of a hybrid wavelet neural network model with the improved cuckoo search algorithm for electrical power system forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 203-222.
    7. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Zhen-Hai & Su, Zhong-Yue & Zhao, Zhi-Yuan & Xiao, Xia & Liu, Feng, 2016. "An improved multi-step forecasting model based on WRF ensembles and creative fuzzy systems for wind speed," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 808-826.
    8. Wang, Jujie & Li, Yaning, 2018. "Multi-step ahead wind speed prediction based on optimal feature extraction, long short term memory neural network and error correction strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 429-443.
    9. Zhao, Weigang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Su, Zhongyue, 2016. "One day ahead wind speed forecasting: A resampling-based approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 886-901.
    10. Ahmed, Adil & Khalid, Muhammad, 2018. "An intelligent framework for short-term multi-step wind speed forecasting based on Functional Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 902-911.
    11. Liu, Yang & Wang, Wei & Ghadimi, Noradin, 2017. "Electricity load forecasting by an improved forecast engine for building level consumers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 18-30.
    12. He, Qingqing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A hybrid system for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 756-771.
    13. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2010. "On comparing three artificial neural networks for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2313-2320, July.
    14. Song, Jingjing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A novel combined model based on advanced optimization algorithm for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 643-658.
    15. Nima Amjady & Oveis Abedinia, 2017. "Short Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Improved Kriging Interpolation, Empirical Mode Decomposition, and Closed-Loop Forecasting Engine," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-18, November.
    16. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Yanling & Xiao, Xia & Wang, Jianzhou & Chi, Dezhong & Guo, Zhenhai, 2017. "Multi-step wind speed and power forecasts based on a WRF simulation and an optimized association method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 183-202.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tian, Chengshi & Hao, Yan & Hu, Jianming, 2018. "A novel wind speed forecasting system based on hybrid data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 301-319.
    2. Song, Jingjing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A novel combined model based on advanced optimization algorithm for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 643-658.
    3. Yang, Wendong & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Tong & Du, Pei, 2019. "A hybrid forecasting system based on a dual decomposition strategy and multi-objective optimization for electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1205-1225.
    4. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Yanling & Xiao, Xia & Wang, Jianzhou & Chi, Dezhong & Guo, Zhenhai, 2017. "Multi-step wind speed and power forecasts based on a WRF simulation and an optimized association method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 183-202.
    5. Zhao, Weigang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Su, Zhongyue, 2016. "One day ahead wind speed forecasting: A resampling-based approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 886-901.
    6. Chen, Xue-Jun & Zhao, Jing & Jia, Xiao-Zhong & Li, Zhong-Long, 2021. "Multi-step wind speed forecast based on sample clustering and an optimized hybrid system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 595-611.
    7. Yang, Zhongshan & Wang, Jian, 2018. "A combination forecasting approach applied in multistep wind speed forecasting based on a data processing strategy and an optimized artificial intelligence algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 1108-1125.
    8. Jannik Schütz Roungkvist & Peter Enevoldsen, 2020. "Timescale classification in wind forecasting: A review of the state‐of‐the‐art," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 757-768, August.
    9. Zhou, Qingguo & Wang, Chen & Zhang, Gaofeng, 2019. "Hybrid forecasting system based on an optimal model selection strategy for different wind speed forecasting problems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1559-1580.
    10. Xu, Weifeng & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Lei & Zhou, Yong & Xia, Qian & Gong, Yu & Liu, Yini, 2021. "Multi-step wind speed prediction by combining a WRF simulation and an error correction strategy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 772-782.
    11. Hao, Ying & Dong, Lei & Liao, Xiaozhong & Liang, Jun & Wang, Lijie & Wang, Bo, 2019. "A novel clustering algorithm based on mathematical morphology for wind power generation prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 572-585.
    12. Qian, Zheng & Pei, Yan & Zareipour, Hamidreza & Chen, Niya, 2019. "A review and discussion of decomposition-based hybrid models for wind energy forecasting applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 939-953.
    13. Wu, Zhuochun & Xia, Xiangjie & Xiao, Liye & Liu, Yilin, 2020. "Combined model with secondary decomposition-model selection and sample selection for multi-step wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    14. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
    15. Wu, Binrong & Wang, Lin & Zeng, Yu-Rong, 2022. "Interpretable wind speed prediction with multivariate time series and temporal fusion transformers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    16. Khosravi, A. & Machado, L. & Nunes, R.O., 2018. "Time-series prediction of wind speed using machine learning algorithms: A case study Osorio wind farm, Brazil," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 550-566.
    17. Wang, Kejun & Qi, Xiaoxia & Liu, Hongda & Song, Jiakang, 2018. "Deep belief network based k-means cluster approach for short-term wind power forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 840-852.
    18. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    19. Wang, Jujie & Li, Yaning, 2018. "Multi-step ahead wind speed prediction based on optimal feature extraction, long short term memory neural network and error correction strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 429-443.
    20. Yang, Zhongshan & Wang, Jian, 2018. "A hybrid forecasting approach applied in wind speed forecasting based on a data processing strategy and an optimized artificial intelligence algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 87-100.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:236:y:2019:i:c:p:262-272. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.