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Investigation of satellite-related precipitation products for modeling of rainfed wheat production systems

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  • Araghi, Alireza
  • Jaghargh, Majid Rajabi
  • Maghrebi, Mohsen
  • Martinez, Christopher J.
  • Fraisse, Clyde W.
  • Olesen, Jørgen E.
  • Hoogenboom, Gerrit

Abstract

Precipitation is a very important weather variable for growth and yield of rainfed crops. In many agricultural regions of the world, high-quality precipitation records are not available, and thus, gridded precipitation products (GPPs) have to be applied as an alternative. The main objective of this study was to identify the most accurate GPP for simulating crop yield over a major rainfed wheat production zone in Iran. For this purpose, fifteen global GPPs were evaluated versus the observed precipitation records for the simulation of rainfed wheat growth and development and yield estimation using the Cropping System Model (CSM) CERES-Wheat model embedded in the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT). The findings showed that multi-source GPPs had generally higher skill for the yield estimation. Considering all statistical and simulation results obtained from three sites during 2000–2010, MSWEP (Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation) was found as the best alternative GPP to the observed precipitation data for rainfed wheat grain yield simulation with normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of 4.6 and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.79, while CMORPH (the Climate Prediction Center morphing method) was the weakest with NRMSE of 13.3 and NSE as − 0.81. The results point to differences among GPP, but there is a need to evaluate in other regions if multi-purpose GPPs are in general more reliable than GPPs based on specific sources.

Suggested Citation

  • Araghi, Alireza & Jaghargh, Majid Rajabi & Maghrebi, Mohsen & Martinez, Christopher J. & Fraisse, Clyde W. & Olesen, Jørgen E. & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2021. "Investigation of satellite-related precipitation products for modeling of rainfed wheat production systems," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:258:y:2021:i:c:s0378377421004996
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107222
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Parkes, Ben & Higginbottom, Thomas P. & Hufken, Koen & Ceballos, Francisco & Kramer, Berber & Foster, Timothy, 2019. "Weather dataset choice introduces uncertainty to estimates of crop yield responses to climate variability and change:," IFPRI discussion papers 1870, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Nouri, Milad & Homaee, Mehdi & Bannayan, Mohammad & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2017. "Towards shifting planting date as an adaptation practice for rainfed wheat response to climate change," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 108-119.
    3. Bannayan, M. & Eyshi Rezaei, E. & Hoogenboom, G., 2013. "Determining optimum planting dates for rainfed wheat using the precipitation uncertainty model and adjusted crop evapotranspiration," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 56-63.
    4. Toreti, A. & Maiorano, A. & De Sanctis, G. & Webber, H. & Ruane, A.C. & Fumagalli, D. & Ceglar, A. & Niemeyer, S. & Zampieri, M., 2019. "Using reanalysis in crop monitoring and forecasting systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 144-153.
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