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Improved forecasting of coffee leaf rust by qualitative modeling: Design and expert validation of the ExpeRoya model

Author

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  • Motisi, Natacha
  • Bommel, Pierre
  • Leclerc, Grégoire
  • Robin, Marie-Hélène
  • Aubertot, Jean-Noël
  • Butron, Andrea Arias
  • Merle, Isabelle
  • Treminio, Edwin
  • Avelino, Jacques

Abstract

Coffee leaf rust (CLR) epidemics on Coffea arabica have led to severe socio-economic crises in Latin America starting in 2008. Until now, the scattered nature of scientific and empirical knowledge of the highly complex CLR-coffee pathosystem has been an obstacle to the development of CLR forecasting models.

Suggested Citation

  • Motisi, Natacha & Bommel, Pierre & Leclerc, Grégoire & Robin, Marie-Hélène & Aubertot, Jean-Noël & Butron, Andrea Arias & Merle, Isabelle & Treminio, Edwin & Avelino, Jacques, 2022. "Improved forecasting of coffee leaf rust by qualitative modeling: Design and expert validation of the ExpeRoya model," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:197:y:2022:i:c:s0308521x2100305x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103352
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rodríguez, Daniel & Cure, José Ricardo & Cotes, José Miguel & Gutierrez, Andrew Paul & Cantor, Fernando, 2011. "A coffee agroecosystem model: I. Growth and development of the coffee plant," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(19), pages 3626-3639.
    2. David Camilo Corrales & Apolinar Figueroa Casas & Agapito Ledezma & Juan Carlos Corrales, 2016. "Two-Level Classifier Ensembles for Coffee Rust Estimation in Colombian Crops," International Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Information Systems (IJAEIS), IGI Global, vol. 7(3), pages 41-59, July.
    3. Liman Harou, Issoufou & Whitney, Cory & Kung'u, James & Luedeling, Eike, 2021. "Crop modelling in data-poor environments – A knowledge-informed probabilistic approach to appreciate risks and uncertainties in flood-based farming systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Lacroix, Octave & Lescourret, Françoise & Génard, Michel & Memah, Mohamed-Mahmoud & Vercambre, Gilles & Valsesia, Pierre & Bevacqua, Daniele & Grechi, Isabelle, 2024. "Modeling the effect of multiple pests on ecosystem services provided by fruit crops: Application to apple," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    2. Mora Van Cauwelaert, Emilio & González González, Cecilia & Boyer, Denis & Hajian-Forooshani, Zachary & Vandermeer, John & Benítez, Mariana, 2023. "Dispersal and plant arrangement condition the timing and magnitude of coffee rust infection," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 475(C).

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