IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agisys/v187y2021ics0308521x20308805.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Decision support system for Western Flower Thrips management in roses production

Author

Listed:
  • Tay, Ahmad
  • Lafont, Frédéric
  • Balmat, Jean-François
  • Pessel, Nathalie
  • Lhoste-Drouineau, Ange

Abstract

The objective of this study is to develop an innovative system to assess the risk of pests using a fuzzy logic approach. The system is designed to provide farmers with an index representing an estimate of the risk of presence of Western Flower Thrips (WFT), Frankliniella occidentalis in a roses greenhouse. For this purpose, a modular knowledge-based decision support system has been designed. The major findings of our research are summarized in four points. First of all, the model is based on variables measured automatically via sensors and do not require human activity (damaged area of a leaf, sex ratio). Secondly, as the system is not only oriented toward experimentation and research centers but also farmers, the phenomenon of manual counting could be replaced by a predicted value. In addition, the novelty associated with the system is that it supplies a daily rather than a weekly estimate of WFT risk level. In so doing, the farmers could stay aware of the influence of daily weather conditions on its evolution. Finally, this study could be beneficial to help reduce the utilization of pesticides and decrease the percentage of production loss, due to continuous monitoring of the risk level in the greenhouse. Because the development of F. occidentalis is highly sensitive to climate change, and in order to enhance the assessment of pest risk, an approach, which combines data related to the type of rose, the duration of sunlight and meteorological conditions, was followed. Simulation results are displayed at the end to validate our approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Tay, Ahmad & Lafont, Frédéric & Balmat, Jean-François & Pessel, Nathalie & Lhoste-Drouineau, Ange, 2021. "Decision support system for Western Flower Thrips management in roses production," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:187:y:2021:i:c:s0308521x20308805
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2020.103019
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X20308805
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.103019?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hicham Fatnassi & Jeannine Pizzol & Rachid Senoussi & Antonio Biondi & Nicolas Desneux & Christine Poncet & Thierry Boulard, 2015. "Within-Crop Air Temperature and Humidity Outcomes on Spatio-Temporal Distribution of the Key Rose Pest Frankliniella occidentalis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, May.
    2. Roger Boll & Cécile Marchal & Christine Poncet & Laurent Lapchin, 2007. "Rapid visual estimates of Thrips (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) densities on cucumber and rose crops," Post-Print hal-02659536, HAL.
    3. Li, Baibing & Martin, Elaine B. & Morris, A. Julian, 2002. "On principal component analysis in L1," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 471-474, September.
    4. Tonnang, Henri E.Z. & Hervé, Bisseleua D.B. & Biber-Freudenberger, Lisa & Salifu, Daisy & Subramanian, Sevgan & Ngowi, Valentine B. & Guimapi, Ritter Y.A. & Anani, Bruce & Kakmeni, Francois M.M. & Aff, 2017. "Advances in crop insect modelling methods—Towards a whole system approach," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 354(C), pages 88-103.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Juan Carlos Chávez & Felipe J. Fonseca & Manuel Gómez-Zaldívar, 2017. "Resoluciones de disputas comerciales y desempeño económico regional en México. (Commercial Disputes Resolution and Regional Economic Performance in Mexico)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 79-93, May.
    2. Chen, Ray-Bing & Chen, Ying & Härdle, Wolfgang K., 2014. "TVICA—Time varying independent component analysis and its application to financial data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 95-109.
    3. Yan Yu Chen & Chun-Cheih Chao & Fu-Chen Liu & Po-Chen Hsu & Hsueh-Fen Chen & Shih-Chi Peng & Yung-Jen Chuang & Chung-Yu Lan & Wen-Ping Hsieh & David Shan Hill Wong, 2013. "Dynamic Transcript Profiling of Candida albicans Infection in Zebrafish: A Pathogen-Host Interaction Study," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(9), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Plat, Richard, 2009. "Stochastic portfolio specific mortality and the quantification of mortality basis risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 123-132, August.
    5. Kondylis, Athanassios & Whittaker, Joe, 2008. "Spectral preconditioning of Krylov spaces: Combining PLS and PC regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(5), pages 2588-2603, January.
    6. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "Governance, capital flight and industrialisation in Africa," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-22, December.
    7. M. J. Aziakpono & S. Kleimeier & H. Sander, 2012. "Banking market integration in the SADC countries: evidence from interest rate analyses," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(29), pages 3857-3876, October.
    8. Bianca Maria Colosimo & Luca Pagani & Marco Grasso, 2024. "Modeling spatial point processes in video-imaging via Ripley’s K-function: an application to spatter analysis in additive manufacturing," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 429-447, January.
    9. Ouyang, Yaofu & Li, Peng, 2018. "On the nexus of financial development, economic growth, and energy consumption in China: New perspective from a GMM panel VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 238-252.
    10. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Zhao, Yang & Song, Mengjie & Wang, Jiayuan, 2019. "Deep learning-based feature engineering methods for improved building energy prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 35-45.
    11. Ionela Munteanu & Adriana Grigorescu & Elena Condrea & Elena Pelinescu, 2020. "Convergent Insights for Sustainable Development and Ethical Cohesion: An Empirical Study on Corporate Governance in Romanian Public Entities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    12. Daniel Boss & Annick Hoffmann & Benjamin Rappaz & Christian Depeursinge & Pierre J Magistretti & Dimitri Van de Ville & Pierre Marquet, 2012. "Spatially-Resolved Eigenmode Decomposition of Red Blood Cells Membrane Fluctuations Questions the Role of ATP in Flickering," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(8), pages 1-10, August.
    13. Doukas, Haris & Papadopoulou, Alexandra & Savvakis, Nikolaos & Tsoutsos, Theocharis & Psarras, John, 2012. "Assessing energy sustainability of rural communities using Principal Component Analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 1949-1957.
    14. Paschalis Arvanitidis & Athina Economou & Christos Kollias, 2016. "Terrorism’s effects on social capital in European countries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 231-250, December.
    15. Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Rahat, Birjees & Naqvi, Bushra & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Revolutionizing finance: The synergy of fintech, digital adoption, and innovation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    16. Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen & Pavinee Chanvichit, 2024. "Historical Analysis of the Effects of Drought on Rice and Maize Yields in Southeast Asia," Resources, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-18, March.
    17. -, 2015. "The effects of climate change on the coasts of Latin America and the Caribbean: Climate variability, dynamics and trends," Documentos de Proyectos 39866, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    18. Barton, Madeleine G. & Terblanche, John S. & Sinclair, Brent J., 2019. "Incorporating temperature and precipitation extremes into process-based models of African lepidoptera changes the predicted distribution under climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 53-65.
    19. Dorota Toczydlowska & Gareth W. Peters & Man Chung Fung & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2017. "Stochastic Period and Cohort Effect State-Space Mortality Models Incorporating Demographic Factors via Probabilistic Robust Principal Components," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-77, July.
    20. Weili Duan & Bin He & Daniel Nover & Guishan Yang & Wen Chen & Huifang Meng & Shan Zou & Chuanming Liu, 2016. "Water Quality Assessment and Pollution Source Identification of the Eastern Poyang Lake Basin Using Multivariate Statistical Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:187:y:2021:i:c:s0308521x20308805. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agsy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.