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Changement technologique et opportunités de développement, une cible mouvante

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  • Pérez, Carlota

Abstract

Le présent article propose d 'interpréter le développement comme un processus d 'accumulation de capacités technologiques et sociales,dépendant de la mise à profit de fenêtres d 'opportunité successives et différentes.Celles-ci sont déterminées,à partir des pays du centre,par les révolutions technologiques qui se produisent tous les demi- siècles et les quatre phases de leur déroulement.Les possibilités de progresser à chaque opportunité sont fonction des résultats atteints au cours de la phase précédente,de l 'identification de la nature de la suivante,de la compréhension du paradigme technico-économique de la révolution en question et de la capacité à concevoir et négocier,chaque fois,une stratégie à somme positive tenant compte des intérêts des entreprises les plus puissantes.À partir de cette interprétation,l 'auteur analyse brièvement les stratégies de développement successives appliquées depuis les années 50.Elle esquisse ensuite la nature probable de la phase suivante et,appliquant les principes du paradigme technico-économique,elle explore certains aspects du changement institutionnel à réaliser.

Suggested Citation

  • Pérez, Carlota, 2005. "Changement technologique et opportunités de développement, une cible mouvante," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col070:11038
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