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Volatility Transmission between Oil Price and Exchange Rate

Author

Listed:
  • Arafet Hamida

    (Higher Institute of Management of Gabes, University of Gabes, Tunisia)

  • Salah ben Nasr

    (Higher Institute of Management of Gabes, University of Gabes, Tunisia)

Abstract

This article presents a study on the transmission of oil price volatility to the exchange rates of 14 countries (net oil exporters and importers) during the period from 02/01/2000 to 31/11/2022. The aim is to compare the effect of oil price fluctuations on exchange rate volatility based on the country's nature. Using ARCH, GARCH, and GARCH-BEKK models, our results reveal that the real effective exchange rate is significantly linked to fluctuations in the real oil price for both categories of countries: oil importers and exporters. These findings have important implications for monetary, fiscal, inflationary, and trade policies for these countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Arafet Hamida & Salah ben Nasr, 2024. "Volatility Transmission between Oil Price and Exchange Rate," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(5), pages 380-392, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-05-39
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARCH; GARCH; GARCH BEKK; Volatility; Oil Price; Exchange Rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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