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The Nonlinear Nexus of Climate Policy Uncertainty and Renewable Energy Consumption in the United States of America: A Markov-Switching Approach

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  • Sekar Utami Setiastuti

    (Department of Economics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia)

  • Mohammad Arief Rajendra

    (Department of Economics, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia)

Abstract

We employ a Markov-Switching regression model using monthly US data from April 1987 to August 2022 to investigate the effect of climate policy uncertainty (CPU) on renewable energy consumption (REC). The main findings suggest the presence of a nonlinear relationship between CPU and REC. The baseline analysis using the CPU index reveals an adverse effect in regimes characterized by high levels of uncertainty. However, the effect is not statistically significant in a low uncertainty regime. To account for potential variations in the results, we perform a robustness analysis that considers the effect of CPU on REC, which may fluctuate based on the authorities' contextual perspectives (i.e., being in favor or against climate policy) and also the effect of CPU on REC by household. In addition, we incorporate a robustness check by utilizing the environmental policy uncertainty index developed by Noailly et al. (2022). The robustness test results confirm the results obtained from the baseline estimation.

Suggested Citation

  • Sekar Utami Setiastuti & Mohammad Arief Rajendra, 2024. "The Nonlinear Nexus of Climate Policy Uncertainty and Renewable Energy Consumption in the United States of America: A Markov-Switching Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(5), pages 321-334, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-05-33
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate Policy Uncertainty; Environmental Policy Uncertainty; Renewable Energy Demand; Markov-Switching Regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • Q21 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q28 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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