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The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Prices on Stock Returns: Evidence from Hanoi Stock Exchange, Vietnam

Author

Listed:
  • Loc Dong Truong

    (School of Economics, Can Tho University, Vietnam)

  • Anh Thi Kim Nguyen

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, An Giang University, and Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam)

  • H. Swint Friday

    (Texas A&M University – RELLIS, USA)

  • Nhien Tuyet Doan

    (School of Economics, Can Tho University, Vietnam)

Abstract

This study is devoted to investigating the asymmetric effects of oil prices on stock returns for Hanoi Stock Exchange (HNX). The data used in this study are weekly series of HNX-Index, WTI crude oil prices and geopolitical risks (GPRs) Index covering the period from January 2, 2010 to December 31, 2023. This study employed a nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) bounds testing approach to estimate the short-term and long-term asymmetric effects of oil prices on the market returns. We found that in the short-term, oil prices have negative asymmetric effects on the market returns. Specifically, one percent increase in positive changes of oil prices immediately leads to 0.0085 percent decrease in the market returns. However, one percent increase in negative changes of oil prices is associated with 0.1487 percent decrease in the market returns. In the long-term, the estimated results confirm that both the negative and positive changes of oil prices have significantly negative effects on the market returns. Finally, the results obtained from the error correction model (ECM) indicate that 81.54 percent of the disequilibria from the previous week are converged and corrected back to the long-term equilibrium in the current week.

Suggested Citation

  • Loc Dong Truong & Anh Thi Kim Nguyen & H. Swint Friday & Nhien Tuyet Doan, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Prices on Stock Returns: Evidence from Hanoi Stock Exchange, Vietnam," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(5), pages 236-241, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-05-24
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Prices; Stock Market Returns; HNX;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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