IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2021-04-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil Price Crisis and Bankruptcy Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Adhitya Agri Putra

    (University of Riau, Indonesia)

  • D.P. Emrinaldi Nur

    (University of Riau, Indonesia)

  • Ferdy Putra

    (University of Riau, Indonesia)

Abstract

This research aims to examine the effect of the oil price crisis on bankruptcy risk. The sample consists of 9 oil and gas companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange 2013-2019. The analysis method uses fixed-effect regression. The result shows that the oil price crisis increases bankruptcy risk, especially for companies with higher leverage. Furthermore, the oil price crisis reduces market value for companies with higher bankruptcy risk. It indicates that the oil price crisis brings performance for oil and gas companies to generate revenue, earnings, and cash flow that leads companies to insolvency condition.

Suggested Citation

  • Adhitya Agri Putra & D.P. Emrinaldi Nur & Ferdy Putra, 2021. "Oil Price Crisis and Bankruptcy Risk," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 7-13.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-04-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/11111/5878
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/11111/5878
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anowor Oluchukwu F.* & Uwakwe Queendaline Chinyere & Chikwendu Nneka Francisca, 2019. "How Investment Does Affect Unemployment in a Developing Economy," Sumerianz Journal of Economics and Finance, Sumerianz Publication, vol. 2(7), pages 82-88, 07-2019.
    2. Frank Barry, 1991. "Industrialization Strategies for Developing Countries: Lessons from the Irish Experience," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 85-98, March.
    3. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 131-158.
    4. John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1504, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    5. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis And The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 589-609, September.
    6. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy: A Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 193-194, March.
    7. Harlan Platt & Marjorie Platt, 2002. "Predicting corporate financial distress: Reflections on choice-based sample bias," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 26(2), pages 184-199, June.
    8. Ansari, Dawud, 2017. "OPEC, Saudi Arabia, and the shale revolution: Insights from equilibrium modelling and oil politics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 166-178.
    9. repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:5:p:1443-1493 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Agus Nurudin, 2020. "Bankruptcy and Postponement of Debt Payments for Large Companies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 388-395.
    11. Nanda Fito Mela & Adhitya Agri Putra, 2020. "Oil Price and Earnings Management: Evidence from Crude Oil and Gas Companies in Indonesian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 352-355.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Evan Dudley & Niclas Andrén & Håkan Jankensgård, 2022. "How do firms hedge in financial distress?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1324-1351, July.
    2. Chiuling Lu & Ann Yang & Jui-Feng Huang, 2015. "Bankruptcy predictions for U.S. air carrier operations: a study of financial data," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 39(3), pages 574-589, July.
    3. du Jardin, Philippe, 2015. "Bankruptcy prediction using terminal failure processes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(1), pages 286-303.
    4. Nick Wilson & Mike Wright, 2013. "Private Equity, Buy-outs and Insolvency Risk," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(7-8), pages 949-990, September.
    5. Tamara Ayœs, Armando Lenin & Villegas, Gladis Cecilia & Leones Castro, María Cristina & Salazar Bocanegra, Juan Antonio, 2018. "Modelaci—n del riesgo de insolvencia en empresas del sector salud empleando modelos logit || Modeling of Insolvency Risk in Health Sector Companies Using Logit Models," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 26(1), pages 128-145, Diciembre.
    6. du Jardin, Philippe, 2009. "Bankruptcy prediction models: How to choose the most relevant variables?," MPRA Paper 44380, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Harlan D. Platt & Marjorie B. Platt, 2008. "Financial Distress Comparison Across Three Global Regions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-34, December.
    8. Comincioli, Nicola & Hagspiel, Verena & Kort, Peter M. & Menoncin, Francesco & Miniaci, Raffaele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2021. "Mothballing in a Duopoly: Evidence from a (Shale) Oil Market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Luca Sensini, 2016. "An Empirical Analysis of Financially Distressed Italian Companies," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(10), pages 75-85, October.
    10. Berk, Istemi & Çam, Eren, 2020. "The shift in global crude oil market structure: A model-based analysis of the period 2013–2017," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    11. Velia Gabriella Cenciarelli & Marco Maria Mattei & Giulio Greco, 2020. "Pressione competitiva e previsione dell?insolvenza," MANAGEMENT CONTROL, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2020(3), pages 35-58.
    12. Virág, Miklós & Nyitrai, Tamás, 2017. "Magyar vállalkozások felszámolásának előrejelzése pénzügyi mutatóik idősorai alapján [Predicting the liquidation of Hungarian firms using a time series of their financial ratios]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 305-324.
    13. Jorge E. Galán, 2021. "CREWS: a CAMELS-based early warning system of systemic risk in the banking sector," Occasional Papers 2132, Banco de España.
    14. Bhanu Pratap Singh & Alok Kumar Mishra, 2016. "Re-estimation and comparisons of alternative accounting based bankruptcy prediction models for Indian companies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 2(1), pages 1-28, December.
    15. Sami BEN JABEUR & Youssef FAHMI, 2014. "Predicting Business Failure Using Data-Mining Methods," Working Papers 2014-308, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    16. Bolek Monika & Gniadkowska-Szymańska Agata, 2019. "Financial Liquidity as a Factor Determining the Economic Condition of Companies on the Capital Market in Relation to Bankruptcy Law in Poland," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, March.
    17. Balcaen, Sofie & Ooghe, Hubert, 2006. "35 years of studies on business failure: an overview of the classic statistical methodologies and their related problems," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 63-93.
    18. Zhou, Fanyin & Fu, Lijun & Li, Zhiyong & Xu, Jiawei, 2022. "The recurrence of financial distress: A survival analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1100-1115.
    19. Aaro Hazak & Kadri Männasoo, 2007. "Indicators of corporate default : an EU based empirical study," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2007-10, Bank of Estonia, revised 04 Sep 2007.
    20. Sami Ben Jabeur & Youssef Fahmi, 2014. "Les modèles de prévision de la défaillance des entreprises françaises : une approche comparative," Working Papers 2014-317, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    oil price crisis; bankruptcy risk; companies value.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-04-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.