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Oil Revenue and State Budget Dynamic Relationship: Evidence from Bahrain

Author

Listed:
  • Fuad M.M Kreishan

    (College of Business Administration, University of Bahrain, Bahrain, College of Business Administration & Economics, Jordan,)

  • Mohamed Sayed Abou Elseoud

    (College of Business Administration, University of Bahrain, Bahrain, Sadat Academy for Management Sciences, Egypt,)

  • Mohammad Selim

    (College of Business Administration, University of Bahrain, Bahrain.)

Abstract

The main purpose of the study is to investigate the short run and long run relationship between government revenues and government expenditures in Bahrain over the period from 1990 to 2017. Using annual data and time series analysis, the study indicated that the above two variables, government revenues and government expenditures were integrated of order one when both Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillip-Perron (PP) unit root tests were applied. The empirical results have revealed that unidirectional causality runs from government revenues to government expenditures. Thus, there is evidence in support of revenue-spend hypothesis. Finally, the results revealed that a 1% increase in oil revenue induces an increase in government expenditures by 1.37%. Therefore, policymakers in Bahrain should focus to further diversify the sources of government revenues from non-oil sectors in such a way that the country will be immune to vulnerability, especially when world oil market performs poorly.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuad M.M Kreishan & Mohamed Sayed Abou Elseoud & Mohammad Selim, 2018. "Oil Revenue and State Budget Dynamic Relationship: Evidence from Bahrain," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 174-179.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2018-06-22
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil revenues; Cointegration; Government expenditures; Government revenues; Granger causality; Bahrain.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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