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The Relationship between Oil Prices and Exchange Rate in Russia

Author

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  • Tatiana K. Blokhina

    (Finance and Credit Department, Peoples Friendship University of Russia, UL. Miklukho-Maklaya 6, Moscow 117198, Russia)

  • Oksana A. Karpenko

    (Finance and Credit Department, Peoples Friendship University of Russia, UL. Miklukho-Maklaya 6, Moscow 117198, Russia,)

  • Andrey V. Guirinskiy

    (Finance and Credit Department, Peoples Friendship University of Russia, UL. Miklukho-Maklaya 6, Moscow 117198, Russia)

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between oil price and the exchange rates in Russian Federation. There is a close interrelation between the currency rate of dollar to ruble and oil prices. The regression model has accurately shown this interrelation. The interrelation with a foreign policy factor - sanctions of the USA and the European Union is also revealed. There is a close interrelation between the currency rate of dollar to ruble and oil prices. The regression model has accurately shown this interrelation. Oil prices of the Brent oil is the dominating factor in a currency exchange rate formation mechanism of ruble, at least, in the long term. When world oil prices are stabilized and sanctions cancelled, currency fluctuations and uncertainty will be minimized. The findings of this paper may be used by foreign and domestic investors while taking decisions because all the shocks impact on the economy in short and long term

Suggested Citation

  • Tatiana K. Blokhina & Oksana A. Karpenko & Andrey V. Guirinskiy, 2016. "The Relationship between Oil Prices and Exchange Rate in Russia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 721-726.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2016-04-08
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Sannur Aliyev & Javid Zeynalov, 2020. "The Effects of Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence from Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 72-80.
    3. Jha, Nimish & Kumar Tanneru, Hemanth & Palla, Sridhar & Hussain Mafat, Iradat, 2024. "Multivariate analysis and forecasting of the crude oil prices: Part I – Classical machine learning approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    4. Fakhri Hasanov & Jeyhun Mikayilov & Cihan Bulut & Elchin Suleymanov & Fuzuli Aliyev, 2017. "The Role of Oil Prices in Exchange Rate Movements: The CIS Oil Exporters," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-18, April.
    5. Yijin He & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2019. "Conditional Dependence between Oil Prices and Exchange Rates in BRICS Countries: An Application of the Copula-GARCH Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-25, June.
    6. Yang, Jinxuan & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Tan, Zhixiong & Umar, Muhammad & Koondhar, Mansoor Ahmed, 2021. "The competing role of natural gas and oil as fossil fuel and the non-linear dynamics of resource curse in Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Parul Bhatia, 2021. "Sustainability Of Exchange Rates And Crude Oil Prices Connection With Covid-19: An Investigation For Brics," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 5, pages 19-29, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Price; Exchange Rate; Interrelation with a Foreign Policy Factor;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • Q35 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Hydrocarbon Resources

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