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Does Volatility in Crude Oil Price Precipitate Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria?

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  • Joseph Ayoola Omojolaibi

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of the Social Sciences, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria)

Abstract

This study examines the effects of crude oil price changes on economic activity in an oil dependent economy-Nigeria. A small open economy structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) technique is employed to study the macroeconomic dynamics of domestic price level, economic output, money supply and oil price in Nigeria. The sample covers the data from 1985:q1 to 2010:q4. The Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) and the Forecast Error Variance Decompositions (FEVDs) results suggest that domestic policies, instead of oil-boom should be blamed for inflation. Also, oil price variations are driven mostly by oil shocks, however, domestic shocks are responsible for a reasonable portion of oil price variations.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph Ayoola Omojolaibi, 2013. "Does Volatility in Crude Oil Price Precipitate Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(2), pages 143-152.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2013-02-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Babatunde Adekunle OKUNEYE & Peter Olugbenga OLUWO, 2023. "Crude Oil Price Fluctuations and Manufacturing Sector Performance in Nigeria (1981 - 2019)," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 2, pages 139-152.
    2. Pazouki, Azadeh & Zhu, Xiaoxian, 2022. "The dynamic impact among oil dependence volatility, the quality of political institutions, and government spending," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Udabah, Sylvester & Okolo, Chimaobi, 2018. "Oil Price and Exchange Rate Volatilities: Its Implications on the Cost of Living in OPEC Member Country - Nigeria," MPRA Paper 86509, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Shuddhasattwa Rafiq & Ruhul Salim, 2014. "Does oil price volatility matter for Asian emerging economies?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 417-441.
    5. Bello Abdullahi MUHAMMAD & Muhammad Shehu SHUAIBU & Mohammad Junaid ALAM & Lawan Nasiru SALISU, 2023. "The Asymmetric Impact of Oil Price Volatility on Nigeria's Inflation," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 3, pages 5-16.
    6. Maku Olukayode E. & Ogede Jimoh S. & Osisanwo Bukonla G., 2021. "Oil Price and Macroeconomic Fundamentals in African Net Oil-Exporting Countries: Evidence from Toda–Yamamoto and Homogeneous Causality Tests," Acta Universitatis Sapientiae, Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 102-114, September.
    7. Alexander Bass, 2019. "Do Oil Shocks Matter for Inflation Rate in Russia: An Empirical Study of Imported Inflation Hypothesis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 288-294.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil price; Monetary policy; Fiscal policy; Inflation; Nigeria;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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