IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ1/2024-01-19.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Unveiling COVID-19’s impact on Financial Stability: A Comprehensive Study of Price Dynamics and Investor Behavior in G7 Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Mariem Talbi

    (Department of Management Information Systems, Applied College, University of Ha’il, Saudi Arabia)

  • Monia Mokhtar Ferchichi

    (Department of Management Information Systems, Applied College, University of Ha’il, Saudi Arabia)

  • Fatma Ismaalia

    (Department of Management Information Systems, Applied College, University of Ha’il, Saudi Arabia)

  • Samia Samil

    (Department of Management Information Systems, Applied College, University of Ha’il, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract

The paper delves into the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on foreign stock markets across several developed nations. It seeks to empirically validate the presence of contagion by employing an adjusted correlation test spanning 7 developing stock markets from February 1, 1992, to April 31, 2021. Employing the FIEGARCH (1.1), DCC-MGARCH(1,1), and Switching-Markov analysis models, the research uncovers compelling evidence of the pandemic's influence on most developed countries during the COVID-19 period. Notably, these markets appear significantly susceptible to the adverse effects brought about by the pandemic. Recognizing the substantial ramifications of financial downturns on monetary policy, risk assessment, asset valuation, and portfolio distribution, the findings hold paramount significance for policymakers, investors, and portfolio managers. This empirical investigation offers insights that could profoundly impact decision-making strategies in these domains, shedding light on crucial aspects for informed policy adjustments, investment decisions, and portfolio allocations amidst such critical market fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariem Talbi & Monia Mokhtar Ferchichi & Fatma Ismaalia & Samia Samil, 2024. "Unveiling COVID-19’s impact on Financial Stability: A Comprehensive Study of Price Dynamics and Investor Behavior in G7 Markets," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 216-232, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2024-01-19
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/download/15643/7735
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/15643
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aharon, David Y. & Umar, Zaghum & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Vo, Xuan vinh, 2022. "COVID-19 related media sentiment and the yield curve of G-7 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    4. Costola, Michele & Iacopini, Matteo & Santagiustina, Carlo R.M.A., 2021. "Google search volumes and the financial markets during the COVID-19 outbreak," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    5. Syllignakis, Manolis N. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2011. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from the Central and Eastern European markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 717-732, October.
    6. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Pericoli, Marcello & Sbracia, Massimo, 2005. "'Some contagion, some interdependence': More pitfalls in tests of financial contagion," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(8), pages 1177-1199, December.
    7. Buchheim, Lukas & Dovern, Jonas & Krolage, Carla & Link, Sebastian, 2022. "Sentiment and firm behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 186-198.
    8. World Bank, 2020. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2020," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 33044.
    9. Niculaescu, Corina E. & Sangiorgi, Ivan & Bell, Adrian R., 2023. "Does personal experience with COVID-19 impact investment decisions? Evidence from a survey of US retail investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "EU sectoral stocks amid geopolitical risk, market sentiment, and crude oil implied volatility: An asymmetric analysis of the Russia-Ukraine tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Zhang, Xinyue & Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Zhong, Angel, 2023. "Investor sentiment and stock market anomalies in Australia," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 284-303.
    12. John, Kose & Li, Jingrui, 2021. "COVID-19, volatility dynamics, and sentiment trading," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    13. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "The differential influence of social media sentiment on cryptocurrency returns and volatility during COVID-19," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 307-317.
    14. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Dionisio, Andreia & Almeida, Dora & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2022. "Nonlinear nexus between cryptocurrency returns and COVID-19 news sentiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    15. Ghulame Rubbaniy & Ali Awais Khalid & Aristeidis Samitas, 2021. "Are Cryptos Safe-Haven Assets during Covid-19? Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(6), pages 1741-1756, May.
    16. Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992. "ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59.
    17. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Investor attention and global market returns during the COVID-19 crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    18. Ben Amar, Amine & Bouattour, Mondher & Bellalah, Makram & Goutte, Stéphane, 2023. "Shift contagion and minimum causal intensity portfolio during the COVID-19 and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    19. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    20. Evangelos Vasileiou, 2021. "Behavioral finance and market efficiency in the time of the COVID-19 pandemic: does fear drive the market?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 224-241, March.
    21. François Lescaroux & Valérie Mignon, 2008. "On the Influence of Oil Prices on Economic Activity and Other Macroeconomic and Financial Variables," Working Papers 2008-05, CEPII research center.
    22. Contessi, Silvio & De Pace, Pierangelo, 2021. "The international spread of COVID-19 stock market collapses," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    23. Diego García, 2013. "Sentiment during Recessions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(3), pages 1267-1300, June.
    24. Hoang, Khanh & Nguyen, Cuong & Nguyen, Harvey & Vo, Lai Van, 2023. "Disaster response: The COVID-19 pandemic and insider trading around the world," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    25. Papadamou, Stephanos & Fassas, Athanasios P. & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2023. "Effects of the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic on implied stock market volatility: International evidence using a google trend measure," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    26. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2008. "All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 785-818, April.
    27. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender, 2020. "Infected Markets: Novel Coronavirus, Government Interventions, and Stock Return Volatility around the Globe," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    28. Ben Amar, Amine & Bouattour, Mondher & Bellalah, Makram & Goutte, Stéphane, 2023. "Shift contagion and minimum causal intensity portfolio during the COVID-19 and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    29. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Angelini, Eliana, 2021. "Feverish sentiment and global equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1088-1108.
    30. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
    31. Imlak Shaikh & Toan Luu Duc Huynh, 2021. "Does disease outbreak news impact equity, commodity and foreign exchange market? Investors' fear of the pandemic COVID-19," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 49(4), pages 647-664, May.
    32. Paul C. Tetlock, 2007. "Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1139-1168, June.
    33. Wang, Hua & Xu, Liao & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2021. "Does investor attention increase stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    34. World Bank, 2020. "Global Economic Prospects, June 2020," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 33748.
    35. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Yarovaya, Larisa & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "COVID-induced sentiment and the intraday volatility spillovers between energy and other ETFs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    2. Chopra, Monika & Mehta, Chhavi, 2022. "Is the COVID-19 pandemic more contagious for the Asian stock markets? A comparison with the Asian financial, the US subprime and the Eurozone debt crisis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Hasan, Md. Tanvir, 2022. "The sum of all SCARES COVID-19 sentiment and asset return," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 332-346.
    4. Kang, Yong Joo & Park, Dojoon & Eom, Young Ho, 2024. "Global contagion of US COVID-19 panic news," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    5. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2024. "Google search trends and stock markets: Sentiment, attention or uncertainty?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    6. Niculaescu, Corina E. & Sangiorgi, Ivan & Bell, Adrian R., 2023. "Does personal experience with COVID-19 impact investment decisions? Evidence from a survey of US retail investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Yang Gao & Chengjie Zhao & Bianxia Sun & Wandi Zhao, 2022. "Effects of investor sentiment on stock volatility: new evidences from multi-source data in China’s green stock markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-30, December.
    8. Adriana AnaMaria Davidescu & Eduard Mihai Manta & Oana Mihaela Vacaru (Boita) & Mihaela Gruiescu & Razvan Gabriel Hapau & Paul Laurentiu Baranga, 2023. "Has the COVID-19 Pandemic Led to a Switch in the Volatility of Biopharmaceutical Companies?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-24, July.
    9. Costola, Michele & Hinz, Oliver & Nofer, Michael & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2023. "Machine learning sentiment analysis, COVID-19 news and stock market reactions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    10. Mariem Talbi & Amel Ben Halima, 2019. "Global Contagion of Investor Sentiment during the US Subprime Crisis: The Case of the USA and the Region of Latin America," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 163-174.
    11. Krishna Reddy Chittedi, 2015. "Financial Crisis and Contagion Effects to Indian Stock Market: ‘DCC–GARCH’ Analysis," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(1), pages 50-60, February.
    12. Möller, Rouven & Reichmann, Doron, 2023. "COVID-19 related TV news and stock returns: Evidence from major US TV stations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 95-109.
    13. Piñeiro-Chousa, Juan & López-Cabarcos, M. Ángeles & Quiñoá-Piñeiro, Lara & Pérez-Pico, Ada M., 2022. "US biopharmaceutical companies' stock market reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding the concept of the ‘paradoxical spiral’ from a sustainability perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    14. Lyócsa, Štefan & Halousková, Martina & Haugom, Erik, 2023. "The US banking crisis in 2023: Intraday attention and price variation of banks at risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    15. Celso-Arellano, Pedro & Gualajara, Victor & Coronado, Semei & Martinez, Jose N. & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2023. "Impact of the global fear index (covid-19 panic) on the S&P global indices associated with natural resources, agribusiness, energy, metals and mining: Granger Causality and Shannon and Rényi Transfer ," MPRA Paper 117138, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2023.
    16. Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2016. "Financial Contagion in EFA Markets in Crisis Periods: A Multivariate GARCH Dynamic Conditional Correlation Framework," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 21(2), pages 121-151, July-Dec.
    17. Emre Cevik & Buket Kirci Altinkeski & Emrah Ismail Cevik & Sel Dibooglu, 2022. "Investor sentiments and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-34, December.
    18. Boubaker, Sabri & Goodell, John W. & Kumar, Satish & Sureka, Riya, 2023. "COVID-19 and finance scholarship: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    19. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    20. Carlini, Federico & Farina, Vincenzo & Gufler, Ivan & Previtali, Daniele, 2024. "Do stress and overstatement in the news affect the stock market? Evidence from COVID-19 news in The Wall Street Journal," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    DCC-MGARCH; FIEGARCH; Switching-Markov Analysis; Investment Decisions; COVID-19 Pandemic; G7 Markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2024-01-19. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.