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The Effect of Public Investment on the Cycle and Economic Growth: A Simple Theoretical Model

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Vel zquez-Orihuela

    (Autonomous University of Hidalgo State, Mexico.)

  • Juan-Roberto Vargas-S nchez

    (Autonomous University of Hidalgo State, Mexico.)

  • Zeus Salvador Hern ndez-Veleros

    (Autonomous University of Hidalgo State, Mexico.)

Abstract

In the specialized literature, there are two versions of the effect of public investment on growth. One of them states that the relationship between them is positive; the other states that there is optimal public investment. This paper proposes an analytical theoretical scheme supporting that, in the short term, the relationship between public investment and economic growth is positive. However, in the long term, this relationship can still be positive or become negative depending on whether there is a crowding-out or a crowding-in effect. Whenever a crowding-in effect occurs, and the government does not have to decrease its investment, it does not increase debt or taxes, and the economy will be on a growth path. However, if there is a crowding-out effect, the trajectory of the economy will depend on the productive efficiency of the displaced capital.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Vel zquez-Orihuela & Juan-Roberto Vargas-S nchez & Zeus Salvador Hern ndez-Veleros, 2019. "The Effect of Public Investment on the Cycle and Economic Growth: A Simple Theoretical Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 37-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2019-01-6
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 2005. "Reinventing Fiscal Policy," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Blandine Laperche & Dimitri Uzunidis (ed.), John Kenneth Galbraith and the Future of Economics, chapter 9, pages 105-125, Palgrave Macmillan.
    2. repec:bla:kyklos:v:33:y:1980:i:2:p:219-29 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Chen, Chuanglian & Yao, Shujie & Hu, Peiwei & Lin, Yuting, 2017. "Optimal government investment and public debt in an economic growth model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 257-278.
    4. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
    5. Tamoya Christie, 2014. "The Effect Of Government Spending On Economic Growth: Testing The Non-Linear Hypothesis," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(2), pages 183-204, April.
    6. Leeper, Eric M. & Walker, Todd B. & Yang, Shu-Chun S., 2010. "Government investment and fiscal stimulus," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(8), pages 1000-1012, November.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    public investment; economic cycle; economic growth; crowding-in; crowding-out.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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