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Testing for the Fisher Hypothesis under Regime Shifts in Turkey: New Evidence from Time-Varying Parameters

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  • Ibrahim Arisoy

    (ukurova University, Department of Economics, TURKEY)

Abstract

This paper examines the validity of Fisher hypothesis in Turkey for the time period 1987Q1-2010Q3. For this purpose, we employ cointegration test with a structural break as well as time varying parameters approach (TVP) that takes into account the effects of regime or policy changes on the relation between interest rate and inflation rate. The empirical results show that weak form of the Fisher hypothesis holds in Turkish economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim Arisoy, 2013. "Testing for the Fisher Hypothesis under Regime Shifts in Turkey: New Evidence from Time-Varying Parameters," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(2), pages 496-502.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2013-02-21
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2002. "Is the Government's intertemporal budget constraint fulfilled in Sweden? An application of the Kalman filter," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(7), pages 433-439.
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    3. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Manuchehr Irandoust, 2008. "The Fisher effect: a Kalman filter approach to detecting structural change," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 619-624.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    : Fisher Effect; Cointegration; Regime Shift; Time-Varying Parameters; Kalman Filter;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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