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To What Extent Did Stock Index Futures Contribute to the October 1987 Stock Market Crash?

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  • Antoniou, Antonios
  • Garrett, Ian

Abstract

The authors examine the extent to which futures contributed to the stock market crash. Correcting for nonsynchronous trading, they find that this explained little of the behavior of the markets, leaving breakdown as the most probable explanation. The authors investigate breakdown by analyzing the pricing relationship on the 19th and 20th of October 1987. They find that the arbitrage link broke on the 19th due to liquidity problems in the stock market. This drove traders to the futures market, alleviating the liquidity problem such that the link was restored on the 20th. The implication is that the problem lay with the stock market. Copyright 1993 by Royal Economic Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoniou, Antonios & Garrett, Ian, 1993. "To What Extent Did Stock Index Futures Contribute to the October 1987 Stock Market Crash?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(421), pages 1444-1461, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:103:y:1993:i:421:p:1444-61
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Xiaotao & Zhao, Yuepeng & Wang, Ziqiao, 2024. "Do loosened trading rules restore the stock index futures price discovery ability in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 389-397.
    2. Andreas Röthig, 2011. "On speculators and hedgers in currency futures markets: who leads whom?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(1), pages 63-69, January.
    3. Tao, Juan & Green, Christopher J., 2012. "Asymmetries, causality and correlation between FTSE100 spot and futures: A DCC-TGARCH-M analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 26-37.
    4. Chris Brooks & Ian Garrett, 2002. "Can we explain the dynamics of the UK FTSE 100 stock and stock index futures markets?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 25-31.
    5. Partha Sarathi Roy & Tanupa Chakraborty, 2023. "Efficiency of Indian Equity Futures Market—An Empirical Analysis with reference to National Stock Exchange," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 24(6), pages 1326-1352, December.
    6. Mallika Kumar & M. M. Sulphey, 2015. "Investment Option in Gold – A Study on Price Discovery of Gold Futures in India," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 4(4), pages 231-238, November.
    7. Christoph Schmidhammer & Sebastian Lobe & Klaus Röder, 2016. "The day the index rose 11 %: a clinical study on price discovery reversal," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 79-106, January.
    8. Laila Amir Memdani & Rajya lakshmi Kandukuri, 2014. "Nexus between Returns in Commodity Market and Equity Market: A Case of Indian Steel Industry," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 3(3), pages 59-72, June.
    9. Christoph Schmidhammer & Sebastian Lobe & Klaus Röder, 2016. "The day the index rose 11 %: a clinical study on price discovery reversal," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 79-106, January.
    10. Christoph Schmidhammer & Sebastian Lobe & Klaus Röder, 2014. "The real benchmark of DAX index products and the influence of information dissemination: A natural experiment," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 129-149, April.
    11. Antonios Antoniou & Gioia Pescetto & Antonis Violaris, 2003. "Modelling International Price Relationships and Interdependencies Between the Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Markets of Three EU Countries: A Multivariate Analysis," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5‐6), pages 645-667, June.

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