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Are Forfeitures of Olympic Medals Predictable? – A Test of the Efficiency of the International Anti-Doping System

Author

Listed:
  • Eike Emrich

    (Saarland University)

  • Freya Gassmann

    (Saarland University)

  • Christian Pierdzioch

    (Helmut-Schmidt-University Hamburg)

Abstract

Modeling national Olympic medal counts has received much attention in recent research. National Olympic medal counts, however, may change after the event as a result of the fight against doping. We show for the Olympic Games that took place in Beijing 2008 that ex-post forfeitures of Olympic medals are predictable, at the aggregate level, using standard variables commonly used in earlier research to model national Olympic medal counts. The predictability of forfeitures of Olympic medal casts doubts that the international anti-doping system works efficiently

Suggested Citation

  • Eike Emrich & Freya Gassmann & Christian Pierdzioch, 2017. "Are Forfeitures of Olympic Medals Predictable? – A Test of the Efficiency of the International Anti-Doping System," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(3), pages 1620-1623.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-17-00362
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Forrest, David & Sanz, Ismael & Tena, J.D., 2010. "Forecasting national team medal totals at the Summer Olympic Games," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 576-588, July.
    2. Christian Pierdzioch & Eike Emrich, 2013. "A Note on Corruption and National Olympic Success," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 41(4), pages 405-411, December.
    3. Andrew B. Bernard & Meghan R. Busse, 2004. "Who Wins the Olympic Games: Economic Resources and Medal Totals," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 413-417, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Olympic medal counts; Forfeitures of medals; Doping; Predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Z1 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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