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Do on/off time series models reproduce emerging stock market comovements?

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed el hédi Arouri

    (EDHEC Business School)

  • Fredj Jawadi

    (University of Evry Val d''''Essonne & Amiens School of Management)

Abstract

Using nonlinear modeling tools, this study investigates the comovements between the Mexican and the world stock markets over the last three decades. While the previous works only highlight some evidence of comovements, our paper aims to specify the different time-varying links and mechanisms characterizing the Mexican stock market through the comparison of two nonlinear error correction models (NECMs). Our findings point out strong evidence of time-varying and nonlinear mean-reversion and links between Mexico and the world stock market, which reflects the significant development of Mexican stock market during the last decades. The specification of the nature of these links is interesting for investment decisions in emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed el hédi Arouri & Fredj Jawadi, 2011. "Do on/off time series models reproduce emerging stock market comovements?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(1), pages 960-968.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-10-00269
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Chen, Yajiao & Liu, Fang, 2022. "The contagion effect of jump risk across Asian stock markets during the Covid-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Arturo Lorenzo Valdés & Rocío Durán Vázquez & Leticia Armenta Fraire, 2012. "Conditional Correlation Between Oil and Stock Market Returns: The Case of Mexico," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 7(1), pages 49-63, Enero-Jun.
    3. Arturo Lorenzo Valdés & Rocío Durán Vázquez & Leticia Armenta Fraire, 2012. "Conditional Correlation Between Oil and Stock Market Returns: The Case of Mexico," Remef - The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance, Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas. Remef, October.
    4. Hemche, Omar & Jawadi, Fredj & Maliki, Samir B. & Cheffou, Abdoulkarim Idi, 2016. "On the study of contagion in the context of the subprime crisis: A dynamic conditional correlation–multivariate GARCH approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 292-299.
    5. Jawadi, Fredj & Louhichi, Waël & Idi Cheffou, Abdoulkarim, 2015. "Testing and modeling jump contagion across international stock markets: A nonparametric intraday approach," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 64-84.
    6. Souhir Chlibi & Fredj Jawadi & Mohamed Sellami, 2016. "Analyzing Heterogeneous Stock Price Comovements Through Hybrid Approaches," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 541-559, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Keywords: Emerging Stock Market Links; Nonlinearity.;

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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