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Causality Link Between Money, Output And Prices In Malaysia: An Empirical Re-Examination

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  • MUHD-ZULKHIBRI, Abdul Majid

Abstract

This paper re-examines the causality relationship between monetary aggregates, output and prices in the case of Malaysia. The study is based upon a vector autoregression (VAR) model applying the Granger no-causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). The results indicate a two-way causality running between monetary aggregates, M2 and M3 and output which is consistent with theoretically conjecture by Keynesian and Monetarist views whereas there is a one-way causality running from monetary aggregate, M1 and output. In addition, the results suggest that all monetary aggregates have a strong one-way causality running from money to prices but no evidence for the opposite causality. Thus, the results add the empirical support to the argument in the literature that inflation is a monetary phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • MUHD-ZULKHIBRI, Abdul Majid, 2007. "Causality Link Between Money, Output And Prices In Malaysia: An Empirical Re-Examination," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 7(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:7:y:2007:i:1_19
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Eltejaei , Ebrahim & Montazeri Shoorekchali , Jalal, 2021. "Investigating the Relationship between Money Growth and Inflation in Turkey: A Nonlinear Causality Approach," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(3), pages 305-322, September.
    2. P., Srinivasan & M., Kalaivani, 2013. "On the Temporal Causal Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables: Empirical Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 46803, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Apanisile Olumuyiwa Tolulope, 2013. "A Bound Test Analysis of Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Output and Prices in Nigeria 2000-2010," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(3), pages 136-147.
    4. Srinivasan Palamalai & Kalaivani Mariappan & Christopher Devakumar, 2014. "On the Temporal Causal Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables," SAGE Open, , vol. 4(1), pages 21582440145, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    money-output; causality; Toda-Yamamoto; prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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