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Financial Globalization And Inflation In Developing Countries: A Reappraisal

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  • William MILES

Abstract

A number of economists have stated, and two recent empirical studies have suggested, that financial globalization should exert a positive effect on macroeconomic outcomes in general and inflation in particular. We re-examine the impact of such openness on inflation by exploiting a recent index of capital controls which improves on previous binary measures. In addition, we include one key variable missing from the previous studies-money growth. We find, as did the previous studies, that in the absence of money growth financial (and trade) openness appear to lower inflation. However, once previous money growth is taken into account, financial (and even a proxy for trade) openness exerts no significant effect at all on inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • William MILES, 2011. "Financial Globalization And Inflation In Developing Countries: A Reappraisal," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 11(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:11:y:2011:i:1_2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Hossain, A., 2005. "The Sources and Dynamics of Inflation in Indonesia: An ECM Model Estimation for 1952-2002," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(4).
    6. Bildirici, E. & Cosar, N., 2006. "Inflation and Disinflation Policy in Turkey Between 1974-2002: LSTVAR Analysis," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2).
    7. Shang-Jin Wei & Ms. Irina Tytell, 2004. "Does Financial Globalization Induce Better Macroeconomic Policies?," IMF Working Papers 2004/084, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Woochan Kim, 2003. "Does Capital Account Liberalization Discipline Budget Deficit?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(5), pages 830-844, November.
    9. Francisco Rodríguez & Dani Rodrik, 2001. "Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic's Guide to the Cross-National Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 261-338, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. POPKOVA, Elena, 2014. "New Prospects Of Economic Growth In Context Of Underdevelopment Whirlpools Phenomena," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 14(1), pages 5-20.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital Account; Inflation;

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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