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Geschichte der quantitativen Konjunkturprognose-Evaluation in Deutschland

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  • Birger Antholz

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  • Birger Antholz, 2006. "Geschichte der quantitativen Konjunkturprognose-Evaluation in Deutschland," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 75(2), pages 12-33.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:75-2-2
    DOI: 10.3790/vjh.75.2.12
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    1. repec:diw:diwwpp:dp399 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Filip Keereman, 1999. "The track record of the Commission forecasts," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 137, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    3. Marcus Kappler, 2006. "Wie genau sind die Konjunkturprognosen der Institute für Deutschland?," List Forum Chapter, in: List Gesellschaft e.V. (ed.), List Forum Band 32, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 10, pages 175-189, List Gesellschaft e.V..
    4. Kappler, Marcus, 2006. "Wie genau sind die Konjunkturprognosen der Institute für Deutschland?," ZEW Discussion Papers 06-004, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    5. repec:diw:diwwpp:dp73 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. repec:diw:diwwpp:dp498 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Dopke, Jorg & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2006. "When do forecasters disagree? An assessment of German growth and inflation forecast dispersion," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 125-135.
    8. Gebhard KirchgÄssner, 1985. "Sind die Prognosen der Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute schwach rational? — Eine Antwort auf Neumann und Buscher," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 121(2), pages 331-345, June.
    9. Gebhard Kirchgässner, 2005. "On the Rationality of the General Public," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2005 2005-13, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
    10. Heilemann, Ullrich, 1981. "Zur Prognoseleistung ökonometrischer Konjunkturmodelle für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland," RWI Schriften, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, volume 44, number 44.
    11. Ulrich K. Müller & Gebhard Kirchgässner, 2006. "Are forecasters reluctant to revise their predictions? Some German evidence," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 401-413.
    12. Ulrich Fritsche & Jörg Döpke, 2005. "Forecast Errors and the Macroeconomy: A Non-Linear Relationship?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 498, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    13. Dicke, Hugo & Glismann, Hans H., 2004. "Vom Elend der Konjunkturprognosen," Research Notes 15, Deutsche Bank Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Heinisch Katja & Behrens Christoph & Döpke Jörg & Foltas Alexander & Fritsche Ulrich & Köhler Tim & Müller Karsten & Puckelwald Johannes & Reichmayr Hannes, 2024. "The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From Forecasts to Evaluation and Comparison," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 244(3), pages 277-288, June.
    2. Alfred Steinherr, 2006. "80 Years of Business Cycle Studies at DIW Berlin: Editorial," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 75(2), pages 5-11.
    3. Döhrn, Roland, 2019. "70 Jahre RWI Konjunkturberichte: Aus der Frühzeit der Konjunkturforschung am RWI," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 70(2), pages 33-43.
    4. Gerit Vogt, 2009. "Konjunkturprognose in Deutschland. Ein Beitrag zur Prognose der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf Bundes- und Länderebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36.

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