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The metastable birth trajectory

Author

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  • Robert Schoen

    (Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract

The metastable model generalizes the stable population model by allowing net maternity to change exponentially over age and time. As a result, the metastable model generates an exponentially quadratic birth trajectory, which is characterized by a constant proportion of births by age of mother. The metastable model is well suited to analyzing steady fertility declines and transitions between two regimes of fixed vital rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Schoen, 2009. "The metastable birth trajectory," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 21(25), pages 759-764.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:21:y:2009:i:25
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.25
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joshua Goldstein, 2002. "Population momentum for gradual demographic transitions: an alternative approach," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 39(1), pages 65-73, February.
    2. Young Kim & Robert Schoen, 1996. "Populations with quadratic exponential growth," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 19-33.
    3. Robert Schoen & Stefan Jonsson, 2003. "Modeling momentum in gradual demographic," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 40(4), pages 621-635, November.
    4. Nan Li & Shripad Tuljapurkar, 2000. "The solution of time-dependent population models," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 311-329.
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    Cited by:

    1. Smith, J.D.H. & Zhang, C., 2015. "Generalized Lotka stability," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 38-43.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stable population; dynamic population models; metastable population; quadratic exponential trajectory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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