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Testing for Inflation Convergence Among European Union Countries: A Panel Approach

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  • Maria Tsafa-Karakatsanidou
  • Stilianos Fountas

Abstract

This paper attempts to test for inflation convergence in a sample of 24 European Union countries. To tackle this issue, first- and second-generation panel unit root and stationarity tests are employed so as to provide evidence of inflation convergence before and after the launch of the single currency, the euro. We also test for and then allow for cross-sectional dependence. In general, the findings reveal that conditional inflation convergence exists for all panels under study. The estimation of half lives shows that the evidence for faster speed of convergence applies for the new member states followed by the core countries and the old member states.

Suggested Citation

  • Maria Tsafa-Karakatsanidou & Stilianos Fountas, 2018. "Testing for Inflation Convergence Among European Union Countries: A Panel Approach," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 64(1), pages 17-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:dah:aeqaeq:v64_y2018_i1_q1_p17-37
    DOI: 10.3790/aeq.64.1.17
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nektarios Aslanidis & Stilianos Fountas, 2014. "Is real GDP stationary? Evidence from a panel unit root test with cross-sectional dependence and historical data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 101-108, February.
    2. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Karl Taylor, 2016. "Inflation convergence in Central and Eastern Europe vs. the Eurozone: Non-linearities and long memory," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(5), pages 519-538, November.
    3. T. S. Breusch & A. R. Pagan, 1980. "The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 47(1), pages 239-253.
    4. Fabio Busetti & Lorenzo Forni & Andrew Harvey & Fabrizio Venditti, 2007. "Inflation Convergence and Divergence within the European Monetary Union," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(2), pages 95-121, June.
    5. Arestis, Philip & Chortareas, Georgios & Magkonis, Georgios & Moschos, Demetrios, 2014. "Inflation targeting and inflation convergence: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 285-295.
    6. Guglielmo Caporale & Nikitas Pittis, 1993. "Common stochastic trends and inflation convergence in the EMS," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 129(2), pages 207-215, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stilianos Fountas, 2018. "Introduction to the Special Issue on Applied Macroeconomics, Finance, and Banking," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 64(1), pages 1-3.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation Convergence; EU; Maastricht Criteria; Panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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